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CONSTANT, CHRISTOPHER

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2AK00200
Internal id
d44d2865-d596-4d6a-b89a-406e44a13427
Status
challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$0$0$0$143,180$0
2024$0$0$0$143,180$0
2022$164,638$164,638$0$143,180$158,023

Elections

No elections on file.

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$1,809$04

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2022-06-08ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTIONsupport$236Voter Guide Management
2022-06-08ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTIONsupport$750Voter Guide Website and Campaign Production
2022-06-08ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTIONsupport$268Print Advertisement
2022-06-08ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTIONsupport$556Online Advertisement

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-06-08ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTION24E$555
2022-06-08ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTION24E$267
2022-06-08ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTION24E$750
2022-06-08ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTION24E$235
2022-05-05PUGET PAC24K$1,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (9)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-06-08ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTIONcontributed_to$750pas2
2022-06-08ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTIONcontributed_to$235pas2
2022-06-08ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTIONcontributed_to$267pas2
2022-06-08ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTIONcontributed_to$555pas2
2022-06-08ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTIONsupports_independently$556fec_ies
2022-06-08ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTIONsupports_independently$236fec_ies
2022-06-08ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTIONsupports_independently$750fec_ies
2022-06-08ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTIONsupports_independently$268fec_ies
2022-05-05PUGET PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofCONSTANT FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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