PALIN, SARAH
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2AK00226- Internal id
8661ef00-e0a7-4c87-bf8d-a74746f52ac8- Status
- open seat
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $3,866 | $50,246 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $1,971,161 | $1,924,781 | $46,380 | $2,525 | $1,770,698 |
Elections
No elections on file.
Committees
- SARAH FOR ALASKA β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $567,732 | $34,948 | 67 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTIβ¦ | oppose | $6,633 | MAILER PRODUCTION |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $1,218 | IE- PALIN- TEXT MARKETING |
| β | PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | support | $246,000 | Broadcast Advertising |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $1,219 | IE- PALIN- DIGITAL MARKETING |
| 2022-11-03 | FAMILY POLICY ALLIANCE | support | $800 | Newspaper Ads |
| 2022-11-02 | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI⦠| oppose | $2,291 | MAILER POSTAGE |
| 2022-11-01 | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI⦠| oppose | $6,215 | MAILER POSTAGE |
| 2022-10-29 | ALASKA POLICY PARTNERS IE GROUP | support | $12,500 | Radio Advertising |
| 2022-10-26 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $230 | IE-PALIN-DONATION PROCESSING |
| 2022-10-25 | NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND | support | $2,471 | IE-Palin-Direct Mail |
| 2022-10-19 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $363 | IE-PALIN-DONATION PROCESSING |
| 2022-10-17 | ALASKA POLICY PARTNERS IE GROUP | support | $40,000 | Radio Advertising |
| 2022-10-12 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $268 | IE-PALIN-DONATION PROCESSING |
| 2022-10-12 | PATRIOT FREEDOM PAC INC | support | $409 | Printing |
| 2022-10-11 | PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | support | $40,000 | Digital Advertising |
| 2022-10-10 | PATRIOT FREEDOM PAC INC | support | $200 | Advertsing |
| 2022-10-06 | PATRIOT FREEDOM PAC INC | support | $2,500 | MMS Services |
| 2022-10-06 | MAKING CONGRESS GREAT AGAIN | support | $2,500 | Digital Ads |
| 2022-10-06 | PATRIOT FREEDOM PAC INC | support | $308 | Event Catering Fees |
| 2022-10-06 | PATRIOT FREEDOM PAC INC | support | $390 | Event AV Fees |
| 2022-10-05 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $231 | IE-PALIN-DONATION PROCESSING |
| 2022-10-05 | PATRIOT FREEDOM PAC INC | support | $1,000 | Copy Writing Services |
| 2022-10-05 | PATRIOT FREEDOM PAC INC | support | $3,000 | Polling |
| 2022-10-05 | PATRIOT FREEDOM PAC INC | support | $1,479 | Media Placement Fees |
| 2022-10-05 | PATRIOT FREEDOM PAC INC | support | $250 | Advertising |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| β | FEDUP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE AKA FEDUP PAC | 24E | $691 |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-12-18 | WINRED | 24K | $-12 |
| 2022-12-10 | WINRED | 24K | $-35 |
| 2022-12-10 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-12-10 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-12-10 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-12-10 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-12-10 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-12-09 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-12-09 | WINRED | 24K | $-100 |
| 2022-12-07 | WINRED | 24K | $-35 |
| 2022-12-07 | WINRED | 24K | $-35 |
| 2022-12-07 | WINRED | 24K | $-35 |
| 2022-12-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-30 |
| 2022-12-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-12-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-12-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-12-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-12-01 | WINRED | 24K | $-20 |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-100 |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-35 |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | FEDUP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE AKA FEDUP PAC | contributed_to | $691 | pas2 | |
| β | PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | supports_independently | $246,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $1,219 | fec_ies | |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $1,218 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | opposes_independently | $6,633 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-12 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-30 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-3 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-40 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-45 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | SARAH FOR ALASKA | β | candidate_committees |