COGHILL, JOHN B JR.
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2AK01133- Internal id
b5939d34-5ea6-4068-bbe0-d1459bdeb6a5- Status
- open seat
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $26,425 | $26,425 | $0 | $0 | $26,425 |
Elections
No elections on file.
Committees
- COGHILL FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $0 | $1,809 | 4 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-08 | ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTION | oppose | $236 | Voter Guide Management |
| 2022-06-08 | ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTION | oppose | $268 | Print Advertisement |
| 2022-06-08 | ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTION | oppose | $556 | Online Advertisement |
| 2022-06-08 | ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTION | oppose | $750 | Voter Guide Website and Campaign Production |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-08 | ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTION | 24A | $750 |
| 2022-06-08 | ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTION | 24A | $235 |
| 2022-06-08 | ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTION | 24A | $555 |
| 2022-06-08 | ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTION | 24A | $267 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (8)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-08 | ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTION | opposes_independently | $236 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-06-08 | ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTION | opposes_independently | $268 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-06-08 | ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTION | opposes_independently | $556 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-06-08 | ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTION | opposes_independently | $750 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-06-08 | ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTION | contributed_to | $750 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-08 | ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTION | contributed_to | $235 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-08 | ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTION | contributed_to | $267 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-08 | ALASKANS FOR BRISTOL BAY ACTION | contributed_to | $555 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | COGHILL FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |