HERNANDEZ, DANIEL

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2AZ02345
Internal id: f3420cb2-b3af-436c-a886-53b9b9a3cceb
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-06. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	812,709
People	Median age	44
Income	Median household income	$77,758
Income	Per-capita income	$45,149
Income	In poverty	10.4%
Income	Unemployed	5.0%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.461
Race	White alone	68.4%
Race	Black alone	3.7%
Race	Asian alone	3.1%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	25.4%
Race	Two or more races	16.9%
Origin	Foreign-born	9.0%
Language	Speaks English only at home	83.2%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	12.0%
Education	High school or higher	59.8%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	39.5%
Education	Advanced degree	17.2%
Household	Family households	61.2%
Household	Avg household size	2.29
Household	Never married (15+)	28.6%
Housing	Median home value	$343,400
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,266
Housing	Single-family detached	65.3%
Housing	Built before 1940	1.4%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.2%
Housing	Vacant units	10.0%
Service	Veterans (18+)	11.9%
Health	With a disability	16.4%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.5%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.3%
Commute	Drove alone	71.3%
Commute	Public transit	0.9%
Commute	Worked from home	16.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$0	$1,484	$0	$0	$0
2022	$1,196,216	$1,194,732	$1,484	$0	$1,018,652

Elections

2022 general house · AZ-6 — lost_general

Committees

DANIEL HERNANDEZ FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$178,933	$0	11

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2022-08-01	EQUALITY PAC	support	$10,714	Digital Advertising
2022-07-31	EQUALITY PAC	support	$10,714	Digital Advertising
2022-07-30	EQUALITY PAC	support	$10,714	Digital Advertising
2022-07-29	EQUALITY PAC	support	$18,667	Direct Mail
2022-07-29	EQUALITY PAC	support	$10,714	Digital Advertising
2022-07-29	EQUALITY PAC	support	$10,714	Digital Advertising
2022-07-28	EQUALITY PAC	support	$10,714	Digital Advertising
2022-07-28	EQUALITY PAC	support	$17,133	Direct Mail
2022-07-27	EQUALITY PAC	support	$10,714	Digital Advertising
2022-07-27	EQUALITY PAC	support	$17,883	Direct Mail
2022-07-26	DMFI PAC	support	$50,250	T.V. Advertising Buy

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-11-30	RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC	24K	$-5,000
2022-11-29	CICILLINE COMMITTEE	24K	$-2,000
2022-09-23	ARTICLE 1 POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$1,000
2022-09-20	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	24K	$20
2022-09-01	EQUALITY PAC	24K	$-5,000
2022-08-30	MORE PERFECT UNION PAC	24K	$-2,600
2022-08-30	EQUALITY PROJECT PAC	24K	$-800
2022-08-30	LA BAMBA PAC	24K	$-2,900
2022-08-02	UNS ENERGY CORPORATION PAC (UNS ENERGY PAC)	24K	$500
2022-08-02	DEMOCRATS WIN SEATS (DWS PAC)	24K	$1,000
2022-08-01	EQUALITY PAC	24E	$10,714
2022-07-31	EQUALITY PAC	24E	$10,714
2022-07-30	EQUALITY PAC	24E	$10,714
2022-07-29	EQUALITY PAC	24E	$18,667
2022-07-29	EQUALITY PAC	24E	$10,714
2022-07-29	EQUALITY PAC	24E	$10,714
2022-07-28	EQUALITY PAC	24E	$17,132
2022-07-28	EQUALITY PAC	24E	$10,714
2022-07-27	EQUALITY PAC	24E	$17,882
2022-07-27	EQUALITY PAC	24E	$10,714
2022-07-26	LABORERS' INTERNATIONAL UNION OF NORTH AMERICA …	24K	$2,500
2022-07-26	DMFI PAC	24E	$50,250
2022-07-22	VPP	24K	$2,000
2022-07-20	LATINO LEADERS FOR EQUALITY, GROWTH, OPPORTUNIT…	24K	$2,500
2022-07-18	UNITE AMERICA PAC INC.	24K	$5,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (99)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-11-30	RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2022-11-29	CICILLINE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,000	pas2
2022-09-23	ARTICLE 1 POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-20	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$20	pas2
2022-09-01	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2022-08-30	MORE PERFECT UNION	contributed_to	$-2,600	pas2
2022-08-30	LA BAMBA PAC	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-08-30	EQUALITY PROJECT PAC	contributed_to	$-800	pas2
2022-08-02	DEMOCRATS WIN SEATS (DWS PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-02	UNS ENERGY CORPORATION PAC (UNS ENERGY PAC)	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-08-01	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	supports_independently	$10,714	fec_ies
2022-08-01	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$10,714	pas2
2022-07-31	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$10,714	pas2
2022-07-31	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	supports_independently	$10,714	fec_ies
2022-07-30	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	supports_independently	$10,714	fec_ies
2022-07-30	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$10,714	pas2
2022-07-29	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	supports_independently	$18,667	fec_ies
2022-07-29	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$10,714	pas2
2022-07-29	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	supports_independently	$10,714	fec_ies
2022-07-29	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$18,667	pas2
2022-07-29	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	supports_independently	$10,714	fec_ies
2022-07-29	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$10,714	pas2
2022-07-28	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	supports_independently	$10,714	fec_ies
2022-07-28	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	supports_independently	$17,133	fec_ies
2022-07-28	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$10,714	pas2
2022-07-28	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$17,132	pas2
2022-07-27	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	supports_independently	$10,714	fec_ies
2022-07-27	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$17,882	pas2
2022-07-27	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	supports_independently	$17,883	fec_ies
2022-07-27	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$10,714	pas2
2022-07-26	DMFI PAC	supports_independently	$50,250	fec_ies
2022-07-26	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$50,250	pas2
2022-07-26	LABORERS' INTERNATIONAL UNION OF NORTH AMERICA (LIUNA) PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-07-22	VPP	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-07-20	LATINO LEADERS FOR EQUALITY, GROWTH, OPPORTUNITY, PROGRESSIVE ACTION & CHANGE (LLEGO-PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-07-18	UNITE AMERICA PAC INC.	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-07-14	ROBERT GARCIA FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-07-14	UA UNION PLUMBERS & PIPEFITTERS VOTE! PAC (UNITED ASSOCIATION OF JOURNEYMEN AND APPRENTICES OF THE PLUMBING & PIPEFITTING INDUSTRY OF THE UNITED STATES AND CANADA)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-07-14	HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-07-14	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2022-07-06	HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN PAC	contributed_to	$12	pas2
2022-07-01	SOUTHWEST GAS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-06-30	DEMOCRATS WIN SEATS (DWS PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-30	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF BOILERMAKERS CAMPAIGN ASSISTANCE FUND	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-06-29	BLUE MAJORITY PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-06-29	MICHELE FOR FLORIDA, INC.	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-06-27	INLAND EMPIRE STRIKES PAC; THE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-06-24	BRADY PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-06-22	AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-06-14	AHORA PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-06-07	DEMOCRATS RESHAPING AMERICA (DREAMPAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-06	GRAND CANYON STATE CAUCUS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-06	AMERICAN IDEAL PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-05-11	HEALTHY GOVERNMENT COMMITTEE-THE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF BLUE CROSS & BLUE SHIELD OF ARIZONA, INC.	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-05-09	TO PROTECT OUR HERITAGE PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-04-30	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$8	pas2
2022-04-28	ENTERPRISE HOLDINGS, INC. / ENTERPRISE MOBILITY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-04-27	BUILD POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF HOME BUILDERS (BUILDPAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-04-23	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$20	pas2
2022-04-21	BRADY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-04-19	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$22	pas2
2022-04-19	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2022-04-15	LEE PAC	contributed_to	$2,100	pas2
2022-04-08	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-03-31	MORE PERFECT UNION	contributed_to	$900	pas2
2022-03-31	LATINO VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-03-31	MORE PERFECT UNION	contributed_to	$2,600	pas2
2022-03-31	INLAND EMPIRE STRIKES PAC; THE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-03-24	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-03-24	CHC BOLD PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-03-22	CA LUV PAC (CALIFORNIA LEADERSHIP UNITED FOR VICTORY PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-03-02	MORE PERFECT UNION	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-03-01	VPP	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-12-30	MORE PERFECT UNION	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2021-12-09	EQUALITY PROJECT PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2021-12-09	EQUALITY PROJECT PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2021-12-02	PUTTING NEW HAMPSHIRE FIRST	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-12-02	RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-11-30	BUILD POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF HOME BUILDERS (BUILDPAC)	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2021-11-29	CHC BOLD PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-11-02	TED DEUTCH FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-10-18	THOMPSON COBURN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2021-10-04	CITIZENS ORGANIZED FOR POLITICAL ACTION	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-09-30	RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-09-29	LGBTQ VICTORY FUND FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-09-29	LA BAMBA PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2021-09-28	RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC	contributed_to	$4,000	pas2
2021-09-20	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-08-27	CITYPAC	contributed_to	$1,250	pas2
2021-07-08	CICILLINE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-07-08	CICILLINE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-06-30	LA BAMBA PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2021-06-29	INLAND EMPIRE LEADERSHIP PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-06-29	LGBTQ VICTORY FUND FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-06-29	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-06-29	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-06-28	RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-06-25	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF BOILERMAKERS CAMPAIGN ASSISTANCE FUND	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2021-06-10	LEE PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	DANIEL HERNANDEZ FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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