LOWELL, DOUGLAS
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2AZ02352- Internal id
7366397b-05af-49bd-a600-61c5ec9f6915- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 826,257 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $67,729 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,854 |
| Income | In poverty | 16.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.458 |
| Race | White alone | 58.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 18.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 12.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 78.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 53.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 26.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.2% |
| Household | Family households | 64.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.49 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $345,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,254 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 18.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 85.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 11.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $278,696 | $278,696 | $0 | $0 | $28,390 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· AZ-2 β lost_general
Committees
- LOWELL FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-19 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-01-19 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-01-19 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-01-19 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-01-19 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-01-19 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-01-19 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-01-19 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-250 |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-100 |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-20 |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-20 |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-100 |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-2,900 |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-500 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-250 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-30 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-250 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-200 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-250 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-400 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-250 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-250 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-250 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-150 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-150 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-500 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | LOWELL FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |