WINN, KATHLEEN
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H2AZ02378- Internal id
fc1ef997-903e-4dff-8261-99ecdd92109c- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-06. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 812,709 |
| People | Median age | 44 |
| Income | Median household income | $77,758 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $45,149 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.461 |
| Race | White alone | 68.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 25.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 16.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 83.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 12.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 39.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.2% |
| Household | Family households | 61.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.29 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $343,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,266 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 11.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $17,548 | $34,087 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $363,264 | $346,725 | $16,539 | $200,332 | $147,964 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· AZ-6 β lost_general
Committees
- KATHLEEN WINN FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $50,625 | $0 | 1 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-31 | RIGHT WOMEN PAC | support | $50,625 | Digital Ads and Placement |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-31 | RIGHT WOMEN PAC | 24E | $50,625 |
| 2022-05-24 | WINRED | 24K | $-250 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (4)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-31 | RIGHT WOMEN PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $50,625 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-05-31 | RIGHT WOMEN PAC | contributed_to | $50,625 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-31 | RIGHT WOMEN PAC | supports_independently | $50,625 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-250 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | KATHLEEN WINN FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |