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NORTON, ELIJAH

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2AZ06247
Internal id
c4a2802f-f05b-4cbc-bdd7-9baec183a7c9
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-01. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation804,578
PeopleMedian age44
IncomeMedian household income$99,999
IncomePer-capita income$69,449
IncomeIn poverty8.7%
IncomeUnemployed4.0%
IncomeGini inequality index0.510
RaceWhite alone71.9%
RaceBlack alone3.7%
RaceAsian alone4.5%
RaceHispanic or Latino17.3%
RaceTwo or more races13.4%
OriginForeign-born12.5%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home82.5%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home10.2%
EducationHigh school or higher67.8%
EducationBachelor's or higher52.5%
EducationAdvanced degree20.9%
HouseholdFamily households57.8%
HouseholdAvg household size2.21
HouseholdNever married (15+)32.3%
HousingMedian home value$642,100
HousingMedian gross rent$1,780
HousingSingle-family detached56.6%
HousingBuilt before 19400.8%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.4%
HousingVacant units10.9%
ServiceVeterans (18+)5.9%
HealthWith a disability11.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband94.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet3.8%
CommuteDrove alone63.1%
CommutePublic transit0.9%
CommuteWorked from home26.3%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$67,612$69,429$0$4,772,612$0
2024$5,000$13,686$1,817$4,772,612$0
2022$5,411,314$5,400,812$10,503$4,700,000$600,867

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-07-05AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIP24A$2,940
2022-07-05AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIP24A$6,700
2022-07-05AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIP24A$3,950
2022-07-05AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIP24A$1,960
2022-07-05AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIP24A$2,955
2022-07-05AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIP24A$12,980
2021-12-31WINRED24K$-200
2021-09-30WINRED24K$-200
2021-09-30WINRED24K$-5,800
2021-09-30WINRED24K$-5,800
2021-08-06WINRED24K$-2,900
2021-08-06WINRED24K$-100

Connected on the graph

Inbound (18)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-07-05AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIPcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$6,70024Afec_pas2
2022-07-05AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIPcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$3,95024Afec_pas2
2022-07-05AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIPcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$1,96024Afec_pas2
2022-07-05AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIPcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$2,95524Afec_pas2
2022-07-05AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIPcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$12,98024Afec_pas2
2022-07-05AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIPcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$2,94024Afec_pas2
2022-07-05AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIPcontributed_to$2,940pas2
2022-07-05AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIPcontributed_to$2,955pas2
2022-07-05AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIPcontributed_to$6,700pas2
2022-07-05AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIPcontributed_to$3,950pas2
2022-07-05AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIPcontributed_to$1,960pas2
2022-07-05AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIPcontributed_to$12,980pas2
2021-12-31WINREDcontributed_to$-200pas2
2021-09-30WINREDcontributed_to$-5,800pas2
2021-09-30WINREDcontributed_to$-200pas2
2021-09-30WINREDcontributed_to$-5,800pas2
2021-08-06WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2021-08-06WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofNORTON FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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