FOSTER, WILLIAM
I Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2AZ06296- Internal id
2f9b03bc-8891-4512-84fe-b800e659ac33- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-06. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 812,709 |
| People | Median age | 44 |
| Income | Median household income | $77,758 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $45,149 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.461 |
| Race | White alone | 68.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 25.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 16.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 83.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 12.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 39.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.2% |
| Household | Family households | 61.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.29 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $343,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,266 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 11.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.0% |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· AZ-6 β lost_general
Committees
- FOSTER 4 ARIZONA β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-24 | GRANGE PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-09-19 | TRIED-AND-TRUE PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-24 | GRANGE PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-19 | TRIED-AND-TRUE PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | FOSTER 4 ARIZONA | β | candidate_committees |