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STOVALL, ALEX

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2AZ09142
Internal id
695023ed-6305-4344-925b-a5586760c4db
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-05. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation840,221
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$109,252
IncomePer-capita income$49,753
IncomeIn poverty6.3%
IncomeUnemployed3.8%
IncomeGini inequality index0.418
RaceWhite alone70.8%
RaceBlack alone3.5%
RaceAsian alone5.9%
RaceHispanic or Latino18.5%
RaceTwo or more races13.7%
OriginForeign-born9.9%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home85.0%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home8.2%
EducationHigh school or higher61.3%
EducationBachelor's or higher40.8%
EducationAdvanced degree15.1%
HouseholdFamily households74.3%
HouseholdAvg household size2.79
HouseholdNever married (15+)27.6%
HousingMedian home value$498,900
HousingMedian gross rent$2,032
HousingSingle-family detached77.3%
HousingBuilt before 19400.2%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.2%
HousingVacant units8.2%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.7%
HealthWith a disability11.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband95.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet2.8%
CommuteDrove alone64.2%
CommutePublic transit0.3%
CommuteWorked from home24.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2024$841$1,822$838$61,269$841
2022$152,503$150,850$1,654$40,119$140,160

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-03-02WINRED24K$-50
2022-03-02WINRED24K$-50
2022-02-20WINRED24K$-25
2022-02-01WINRED24K$-50
2022-01-31WINRED24K$-26
2022-01-17WINRED24K$-20
2021-12-28WINRED24K$-5
2021-12-28WINRED24K$-10
2021-11-26WINRED24K$-50
2021-11-26WINRED24K$-25
2021-11-16WINRED24K$-50
2021-10-19WINRED24K$-10
2021-10-19WINRED24K$-10
2021-09-25WINRED24K$-10
2021-09-04WINRED24K$-26
2021-08-31WINRED24K$-26
2021-08-28WINRED24K$-50
2021-08-26WINRED24K$-50
2021-08-11WINRED24K$-100
2021-08-09WINRED24K$-26
2021-08-04WINRED24K$-50
2021-08-01WINRED24K$-50
2021-06-28WINRED24K$25
2021-06-12WINRED24K$1
2021-03-29JOE COLLINS FOR CONGRESS24K$250

Connected on the graph

Inbound (26)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-03-02WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-03-02WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-02-20WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-02-01WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-01-31WINREDcontributed_to$-26pas2
2022-01-17WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2021-12-28WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2021-12-28WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2021-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-11-16WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-10-19WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2021-10-19WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2021-09-25WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2021-09-04WINREDcontributed_to$-26pas2
2021-08-31WINREDcontributed_to$-26pas2
2021-08-28WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-08-26WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-08-11WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2021-08-09WINREDcontributed_to$-26pas2
2021-08-04WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-08-01WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-06-28WINREDcontributed_to$25pas2
2021-06-12WINREDcontributed_to$1pas2
2021-03-29JOE COLLINS FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$250pas2
2021-03-26AJA SMITH FOR CONGRESS 2022contributed_to$250pas2

Outbound (1)

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