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HAWKINS, BRIAN

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2CA01177
Internal id
5f963887-0e68-4692-a64a-736f20bf8a33
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-25. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation780,646
PeopleMedian age37
IncomeMedian household income$66,572
IncomePer-capita income$29,480
IncomeIn poverty15.5%
IncomeUnemployed8.3%
IncomeGini inequality index0.452
RaceWhite alone31.4%
RaceBlack alone4.7%
RaceAsian alone2.8%
RaceHispanic or Latino66.5%
RaceTwo or more races31.3%
OriginForeign-born25.5%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home46.3%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home50.5%
EducationHigh school or higher45.8%
EducationBachelor's or higher17.3%
EducationAdvanced degree6.0%
HouseholdFamily households71.2%
HouseholdAvg household size3.06
HouseholdNever married (15+)37.0%
HousingMedian home value$377,800
HousingMedian gross rent$1,339
HousingSingle-family detached63.1%
HousingBuilt before 19401.8%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)8.3%
HousingVacant units13.0%
ServiceVeterans (18+)5.5%
HealthWith a disability14.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband90.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.5%
CommuteDrove alone75.7%
CommutePublic transit0.7%
CommuteWorked from home8.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2024$235$7,408$0$0$235
2022$541,665$534,492$7,173$28,738$511,003

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$12,425$04

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
β€”ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICAsupport$7,875Media Placement
β€”ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICAsupport$1,500Media Production
β€”ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICAsupport$500IE Digital Production/Placement
β€”ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICAsupport$2,550Media Placement

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
β€”ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA24E$2,550
β€”ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA24E$500
β€”ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA24E$7,875
β€”ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA24E$1,500
2022-10-20NATIONAL PRO-LIFE ALLIANCE PAC24K$5,000
2022-09-06AMERICAN MATTERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE24Z$2,900
2022-08-15WINRED24K$-10
2022-06-24EUREKA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE24K$5,000
2022-06-14WINRED24K$-50
2022-06-14WINRED24K$-50
2022-06-14WINRED24K$-50
2022-04-07WINRED24K$-1
2022-03-31WINRED24K$-1
2022-03-30VICTORY EAST24K$500
2022-03-18EUREKA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE24K$5,000
2022-03-04WINRED24K$-1
2022-02-10AMERICAN MATTERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE24K$2,900
2022-01-13WINRED24K$-1
2022-01-13WINRED24K$-3
2021-12-30WINRED24K$-100
2021-12-24WINRED24K$-10
2021-12-13WINRED24K$-1
2021-12-01WINRED24K$-1,000
2021-11-30ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA24K$2,500
2021-11-30WINRED24K$-500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (70)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
β€”ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICAcontributed_to$500pas2
β€”ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICAcontributed_to$2,550pas2
β€”ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICAcontributed_to$1,500pas2
β€”ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICAcontributed_to$7,875pas2
β€”ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICAsupports_independently$7,875fec_ies
β€”ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICAsupports_independently$1,500fec_ies
β€”ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICAsupports_independently$500fec_ies
β€”ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICAsupports_independently$2,550fec_ies
2022-10-20NATIONAL PRO-LIFE ALLIANCE PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-09-06AMERICAN MATTERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$2,900pas2
2022-08-15WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-06-24EUREKA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-06-14WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-06-14WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-06-14WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-04-07WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-03-31WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-03-30VICTORY EASTcontributed_to$500pas2
2022-03-18EUREKA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-03-04WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-02-10AMERICAN MATTERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$2,900pas2
2022-01-13WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-01-13WINREDcontributed_to$-3pas2
2021-12-30WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2021-12-24WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2021-12-13WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-12-01WINREDcontributed_to$-1,000pas2
2021-11-30ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICAcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2021-11-30WINREDcontributed_to$-500pas2
2021-11-22WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-11-18WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-11-15WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-11-12WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-11-10WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-11-09WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2021-11-06WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-11-03WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-10-29WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-10-26WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-10-24WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2021-10-16WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-10-13ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICAcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2021-10-12WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-10-05WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-10-01WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2021-09-25WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2021-09-23WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2021-09-21WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-09-20WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2021-09-10WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-08-31WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2021-08-06WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-07-19WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2021-07-07WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-07-02WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-06-26WINREDcontributed_to$1,054pas2
2021-06-25WINREDcontributed_to$1pas2
2021-06-21WINREDcontributed_to$1pas2
2021-06-21WINREDcontributed_to$1pas2
2021-06-18WINREDcontributed_to$1pas2
2021-06-18WINREDcontributed_to$1pas2
2021-06-18WINREDcontributed_to$1pas2
2021-06-10WINREDcontributed_to$1pas2
2021-06-10WINREDcontributed_to$1pas2
2021-06-05WINREDcontributed_to$15pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofHAWKINS FOR CONGRESS 2022β€”candidate_committees

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