JONES, SCOTT R

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2CA03140
Internal id: 9d1e3596-ca1a-4e67-8442-f52e15b49041
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-03. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	778,710
People	Median age	44
Income	Median household income	$106,071
Income	Per-capita income	$56,025
Income	In poverty	7.8%
Income	Unemployed	5.0%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.458
Race	White alone	71.7%
Race	Black alone	1.7%
Race	Asian alone	7.9%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	15.0%
Race	Two or more races	13.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	11.9%
Language	Speaks English only at home	84.1%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	6.6%
Education	High school or higher	60.5%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	41.6%
Education	Advanced degree	15.1%
Household	Family households	68.1%
Household	Avg household size	2.53
Household	Never married (15+)	27.0%
Housing	Median home value	$651,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,950
Housing	Single-family detached	77.3%
Housing	Built before 1940	2.4%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.6%
Housing	Vacant units	18.7%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.2%
Health	With a disability	12.5%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	93.0%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.8%
Commute	Drove alone	65.7%
Commute	Public transit	0.7%
Commute	Worked from home	22.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$567,898	$567,898	$0	$0	$524,998

Elections

2022 general house · CA-3 — lost_general

Committees

SHERIFF SCOTT JONES FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$55,250	$0	3

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2022-04-29	CONSTITUTIONAL LEADERSHIP PAC	support	$24,500	Media - Radio
2022-04-29	CONSTITUTIONAL LEADERSHIP PAC	support	$24,500	Media - Radio
2022-04-26	CONSTITUTIONAL LEADERSHIP PAC	support	$6,250	Media

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-09-28	CENTER FORWARD COMMITTEE	24E	$25,000
2022-09-22	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$3
2022-09-22	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$5
2022-09-08	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$9
2022-09-01	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$8
2022-08-25	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$7
2022-08-25	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$12
2022-08-25	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$3
2022-08-04	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$8
2022-07-21	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$0
2022-07-21	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$7
2022-07-07	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$1
2022-07-01	NORCAL WATER JOBS LIBERTY PAC	24K	$-2,100
2022-06-07	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$21
2022-06-07	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$9
2022-06-06	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$1
2022-05-26	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$0
2022-05-02	HDR, INC. EMPLOYEE OWNERS PAC	24K	$500
2022-04-29	CONSTITUTIONAL LEADERSHIP PAC	24E	$24,500
2022-04-28	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$17
2022-04-28	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$2
2022-04-26	CONSTITUTIONAL LEADERSHIP PAC	24E	$6,250
2022-04-11	AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIP	24E	$35,000
2022-03-29	NORCAL WATER JOBS LIBERTY PAC	24K	$2,900
2022-03-29	MCCLINTOCK FOR CONGRESS	24K	$4,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (62)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2022-09-28	CENTER FORWARD	contributed_to	$25,000		pas2
2022-09-28	CENTER FORWARD	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$25,000	24E	fec_pas2
2022-09-22	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$3	24E	fec_pas2
2022-09-22	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$5		pas2
2022-09-22	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$3		pas2
2022-09-22	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5	24E	fec_pas2
2022-09-08	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$9		pas2
2022-09-08	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$9	24E	fec_pas2
2022-09-01	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$8	24E	fec_pas2
2022-09-01	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$8		pas2
2022-08-25	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$3		pas2
2022-08-25	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$7		pas2
2022-08-25	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$3	24E	fec_pas2
2022-08-25	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$12	24E	fec_pas2
2022-08-25	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$7	24E	fec_pas2
2022-08-25	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$12		pas2
2022-08-04	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$8		pas2
2022-08-04	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$8	24E	fec_pas2
2022-07-21	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$7		pas2
2022-07-21	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2022-07-21	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$7	24E	fec_pas2
2022-07-07	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$1		pas2
2022-07-07	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1	24E	fec_pas2
2022-07-01	NORCAL WATER JOBS LIBERTY PAC	contributed_to	$-2,100		pas2
2022-06-07	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$9		pas2
2022-06-07	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$21		pas2
2022-06-07	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$21	24E	fec_pas2
2022-06-07	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$9	24E	fec_pas2
2022-06-06	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1	24E	fec_pas2
2022-06-06	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$1		pas2
2022-05-26	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2022-05-02	HDR, INC. EMPLOYEE OWNERS PAC	contributed_to	$500		pas2
2022-05-02	HDR, INC. EMPLOYEE OWNERS PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-04-29	CONSTITUTIONAL LEADERSHIP PAC	contributed_to	$24,500		pas2
2022-04-29	CONSTITUTIONAL LEADERSHIP PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$24,500	24E	fec_pas2
2022-04-29	CONSTITUTIONAL LEADERSHIP PAC	supports_independently	$24,500		fec_ies
2022-04-29	CONSTITUTIONAL LEADERSHIP PAC	supports_independently	$24,500		fec_ies
2022-04-28	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$2		pas2
2022-04-28	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$17		pas2
2022-04-28	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$17	24E	fec_pas2
2022-04-28	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2	24E	fec_pas2
2022-04-26	CONSTITUTIONAL LEADERSHIP PAC	supports_independently	$6,250		fec_ies
2022-04-26	CONSTITUTIONAL LEADERSHIP PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$6,250	24E	fec_pas2
2022-04-26	CONSTITUTIONAL LEADERSHIP PAC	contributed_to	$6,250		pas2
2022-04-11	AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIP	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$35,000	24E	fec_pas2
2022-04-11	AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIP	contributed_to	$35,000		pas2
2022-03-29	NORCAL WATER JOBS LIBERTY PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,100	24K	fec_pas2
2022-03-29	NORCAL WATER JOBS LIBERTY PAC	contributed_to	$2,900		pas2
2022-03-29	NORCAL WATER JOBS LIBERTY PAC	contributed_to	$2,100		pas2
2022-03-29	TAKING OUR MAJORITY PAC	contributed_to	$2,900		pas2
2022-03-29	DOUG LAMALFA COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2022-03-29	MCCLINTOCK FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$4,000		pas2
2022-03-29	DOUG LAMALFA COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-03-29	TAKING OUR MAJORITY PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,900	24K	fec_pas2
2022-03-29	NORCAL WATER JOBS LIBERTY PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,900	24K	fec_pas2
2022-03-29	MCCLINTOCK FOR CONGRESS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$4,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-03-17	GUN OWNERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-03-17	GUN OWNERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2022-03-14	AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIP	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$15,000	24E	fec_pas2
2022-03-14	AMERICANS FOR ACCOUNTABILITY IN LEADERSHIP	contributed_to	$15,000		pas2
2022-02-07	NOOGA PAC	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-02-07	NOOGA PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	SHERIFF SCOTT JONES FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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