JONES, KERMIT
D · house
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- FEC candidate id
H2CA04122- Internal id
111bfd44-602a-4e9f-8b3c-837a45928252- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 778,710 |
| People | Median age | 44 |
| Income | Median household income | $106,071 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $56,025 |
| Income | In poverty | 7.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.458 |
| Race | White alone | 71.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 7.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 15.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 13.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 11.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 84.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 41.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.1% |
| Household | Family households | 68.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.53 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $651,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,950 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 77.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 18.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 65.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 22.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $437 | $31,279 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $3,261,535 | $3,230,693 | $30,842 | $0 | $2,830,433 |
Elections
- 2022 general house · CA-3 — lost_general
Committees
- KERMIT JONES FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $79,273 | $283,000 | 14 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-02 | MORNING IN AMERICA PAC | oppose | $2,500 | Digital Advertisement |
| 2022-10-31 | NATIONAL EMERGENCY MEDICINE POLITICAL ACTION CO… | support | $16,258 | Digital Ad production/media buy/voice over for independent … |
| 2022-10-31 | NATIONAL EMERGENCY MEDICINE POLITICAL ACTION CO… | support | $8,128 | Production, postage and list fees for independent expenditu… |
| 2022-10-30 | NATIONAL EMERGENCY MEDICINE POLITICAL ACTION CO… | support | $-24,387 | Design, production, postage and list pull for direct mail p… |
| 2022-10-28 | NATIONAL EMERGENCY MEDICINE POLITICAL ACTION CO… | support | $24,387 | Design, production, postage and list pull for direct mail p… |
| 2022-10-28 | NATIONAL EMERGENCY MEDICINE POLITICAL ACTION CO… | support | $24,387 | Design, production, postage and list pull for direct mail p… |
| 2022-10-24 | MORNING IN AMERICA PAC | oppose | $87,500 | Digital Advertisement |
| 2022-10-24 | MORNING IN AMERICA PAC | oppose | $6,000 | Cost of Production |
| 2022-10-24 | MORNING IN AMERICA PAC | oppose | $87,500 | Digital Advertisement |
| 2022-10-24 | MORNING IN AMERICA PAC | oppose | $6,000 | Cost of Production |
| 2022-10-24 | MORNING IN AMERICA PAC | oppose | $87,500 | Digital Advertisement |
| 2022-10-24 | MORNING IN AMERICA PAC | oppose | $6,000 | Cost of Production |
| 2022-10-17 | HEALTHCARE FOR ACTION PAC | support | $5,500 | Advertising - digital |
| 2022-09-28 | CENTER FORWARD COMMITTEE | support | $25,000 | Digital buy and production expenses (estimated) |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | KERMIT JONES FOR CONGRESS | — | candidate_committees |