PATTI, THOMAS

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2CA09139
Internal id: e774eee0-3ffb-4f27-9ae5-a6b6906e5b0d
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-09. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	774,084
People	Median age	36
Income	Median household income	$91,983
Income	Per-capita income	$37,613
Income	In poverty	12.6%
Income	Unemployed	7.6%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.439
Race	White alone	33.1%
Race	Black alone	7.0%
Race	Asian alone	17.7%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	42.4%
Race	Two or more races	20.6%
Origin	Foreign-born	24.7%
Language	Speaks English only at home	57.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	27.0%
Education	High school or higher	50.0%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	22.7%
Education	Advanced degree	7.5%
Household	Family households	74.6%
Household	Avg household size	3.15
Household	Never married (15+)	37.1%
Housing	Median home value	$530,800
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,729
Housing	Single-family detached	74.2%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.8%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	8.3%
Housing	Vacant units	5.9%
Service	Veterans (18+)	4.3%
Health	With a disability	12.8%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.5%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.1%
Commute	Drove alone	73.7%
Commute	Public transit	0.8%
Commute	Worked from home	10.7%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$6,328	$49,173	$0	$0	$0
2022	$1,627,894	$1,585,048	$42,845	$67,260	$1,172,827

Elections

2022 general house · CA-9 — lost_general

Committees

PATTI FOR CA-09 — principal · type H
TOM PATTI FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$0	$83,964	4

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	HMP	oppose	$21,242	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$21,642	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$20,540	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$20,540	Direct Mail - Estimate

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-12-10	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-12-05	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-11-07	U.S. ISRAEL PAC (USI PAC)	24K	$500
2022-11-04	TENACIOUS PAC	24K	$2,900
2022-11-03	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-11-03	MORE ACTION THAN TALK PAC	24K	$2,900
2022-11-03	BOG-PAC	24K	$2,900
2022-11-03	GARY PALMER FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,500
2022-11-02	NRCC	24C	$103,000
2022-11-01	PAC FOR NEW LEADERSHIP	24K	$2,900
2022-10-28	STOP COLLECTIVISM OR TOTALITARIANISM TRIUMPHS P…	24K	$2,900
2022-10-28	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-10-27	HMP	24A	$20,539
2022-10-27	HMP	24A	$20,539
2022-10-26	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-10-26	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-10-26	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MUTUAL INSURANCE COMPAN…	24K	$1,000
2022-10-25	FARMER PAC	24K	$2,900
2022-10-24	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-10-24	HMP	24A	$21,242
2022-10-24	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-10-21	MCCLINTOCK FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2022-10-19	HMP	24A	$21,642
2022-10-19	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-10-19	UNITED FOOD & COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL …	24N	$1,857

Connected on the graph

Inbound (85)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$21,242	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$20,540	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$20,540	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$21,642	fec_ies
2022-12-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-12-05	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-11-07	U.S. ISRAEL PAC (USI PAC)	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-11-04	TENACIOUS PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-11-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-11-03	MORE ACTION THAN TALK PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-11-03	BOG-PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-11-03	GARY PALMER FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-11-02	NRCC	contributed_to	$103,000	pas2
2022-11-01	NEW LEADERSHIP PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-10-28	STOP COLLECTIVISM OR TOTALITARIANISM TRIUMPHS PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-10-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-27	HMP	contributed_to	$20,539	pas2
2022-10-27	HMP	contributed_to	$20,539	pas2
2022-10-26	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MUTUAL INSURANCE COMPANIES PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-25	FARMER PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-10-24	HMP	contributed_to	$21,242	pas2
2022-10-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-21	MCCLINTOCK FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-10-19	UNITED FOOD & COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL UNION	contributed_to	$1,857	pas2
2022-10-19	HMP	contributed_to	$21,642	pas2
2022-10-18	DOUG LAMALFA COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-13	REPUBLICAN GOVERNANCE GROUP/TUESDAY GROUP PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-10-12	NATIONAL RIGHT TO WORK PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-11	INVEST IN A STRONG AND SECURE AMERICA	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-10-04	REPUBLICAN GOVERNANCE GROUP/TUESDAY GROUP PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-03	STANISLAUS REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE (FED)	contributed_to	$455	pas2
2022-10-02	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-30	LINCOLN CLUB OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-27	NATIONAL FEDERATION OF INDEPENDENT BUSINESS	contributed_to	$493	pas2
2022-09-26	HAGEMAN FOR WYOMING	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-20	AUTOMOTIVE FREE INTERNATIONAL TRADE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-19	NATIONAL FEDERATION OF INDEPENDENT BUSINESS FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-16	DENHAM FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-15	NEW MAJORITY FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-14	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-09	BUILDING LEADERSHIP AND INSPIRING NEW ENTERPRISE PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-09	EUREKA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-07	MIKE JOHNSON FOR LOUISIANA	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-08-15	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-08-15	BULLDOG PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-08-12	HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-08-08	TEAPARTYEXPRESS.ORG	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-06	RON ESTES FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-02	ASSOCIATED BUILDERS AND CONTRACTORS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ABC PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-07-19	FIGHT ON PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-07-15	MICHAEL BURGESS FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-28	CLF	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-06-27	IN THE ARENA PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-06-24	EUREKA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-06-21	HEARTDOCPAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-17	FRIENDS OF GLENN THOMPSON	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-17	HONOR COURAGE COMMITMENT PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-16	DIAMOND FOODS LLC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-14	DR. BRIAN BABIN FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-13	MAJORITY COMMITTEE PAC--MC PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-06-13	LAND OF OPPORTUNITY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-13	CONSERVATIVE OPPORTUNITY LEADERSHIP AND ENTERPRISE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-10	SCALISE FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-06-10	THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-06-10	NRCC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-06-10	RAPTOR PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-09	ADRIAN SMITH FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-06-09	BE VICTORIOUS OVER DEMOCRATS PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-09	HELLFIRE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-05	WINRED	contributed_to	$-150	pas2
2022-01-05	REPUBLIC SERVICES INC. EMPLOYEES FOR BETTER GOVT. PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	TOM PATTI FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	PATTI FOR CA-09	—		candidate_committees

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