DUARTE, JOHN
R Β· house Β· bioguide D000633
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- FEC candidate id
H2CA13131- Internal id
adef45ff-ae61-42f7-95c9-77ed45aa7aea- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-13. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 785,894 |
| People | Median age | 32 |
| Income | Median household income | $69,468 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $27,323 |
| Income | In poverty | 18.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 10.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.453 |
| Race | White alone | 28.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 6.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 66.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 24.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 27.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 43.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 48.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 43.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 14.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 4.1% |
| Household | Family households | 75.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.45 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 41.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $395,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,361 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 75.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 10.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 7.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $9,616 | $200,704 | $23,670 | $0 | $2,073 |
| 2024 | $4,576,132 | $4,386,893 | $214,758 | $119,346 | $1,761,347 |
| 2022 | $2,639,925 | $2,614,406 | $25,519 | $119,260 | $1,488,146 |
Elections
Committees
- DUARTE FOR CA-13 β principal Β· type H
- JOHN DUARTE FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Recent votes
- 2024-12-20 Β· Cong. 118 Β· house roll 517
YEA on HR 10545 β American Relief Act, 2025 - 2024-12-19 Β· Cong. 118 Β· house roll 516
YEA on HR 10515 β American Relief Act, 2025 - 2024-12-18 Β· Cong. 118 Β· house roll 515
YEA on S 759 β Beagle Brigade Act of 2023 - 2024-12-18 Β· Cong. 118 Β· house roll 514
YEA on HR 8663 β DETECT Fentanyl and Xylazine Act of 2024 - 2024-12-18 Β· Cong. 118 Β· house roll 513
YEA on S 3857 β Jamul Indian Village Land Transfer Act - 2024-12-18 Β· Cong. 118 Β· house roll 512
YEA on S 1351 β Stop Institutional Child Abuse Act - 2024-12-17 Β· Cong. 118 Β· house roll 511
YEA on HR 1101 β Lumbee Fairness Act - 2024-12-17 Β· Cong. 118 Β· house roll 510
YEA on Never Again Education Reauthorization Act - 2024-12-17 Β· Cong. 118 Β· house roll 509
YEA on HR 115 β Midnight Rules Relief Act - 2024-12-17 Β· Cong. 118 Β· house roll 508
NAY on HR 115 β Midnight Rules Relief Act
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
- cosponsor Β· 2023-08-18 β HR 3238 β Affordable Housing Credit Improvement Act of 2023
- cosponsor Β· 2023-06-13 β HR 3397 β WEST Act of 2024
- cosponsor Β· 2023-05-10 β HR 3195 β Superior National Forest Restoration Act
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $871,945 | $15,592,044 | 160 |
| 2022 | $4,040 | $6,289,660 | 50 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | HMP | oppose | $14,025 | Radio Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $976,608 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $52,931 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $57,530 | Digital Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $160,354 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $120,000 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $14,025 | Radio Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $45,000 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $15,000 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $194,971 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $17,000 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $14,025 | Radio Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $58,438 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $10,000 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $16,335 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $30,000 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $53,000 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $15,000 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $976,698 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $160,353 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $17,960 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $160,353 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $6,580 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $9,400 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $58,438 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| β | HMP | 24A | $160,353 |
| 2025-01-28 | CHAMBER OF COMMERCE OF THE UNITED STATES OF AME⦠| 24K | $-1,000 |
| 2022-12-28 | WINRED | 24K | $0 |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | 24K | $-3 |
| 2022-12-24 | WINRED | 24K | $-9 |
| 2022-12-24 | WINRED | 24K | $-2 |
| 2022-12-24 | WINRED | 24K | $-9 |
| 2022-12-23 | WINRED | 24K | $0 |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-12-20 | WINRED | 24K | $-9 |
| 2022-12-20 | WINRED | 24K | $-9 |
| 2022-12-17 | WINRED | 24K | $-2 |
| 2022-12-16 | WINRED | 24K | $-3 |
| 2022-12-13 | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-12-13 | AT&T INC. EMPLOYEE FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COM⦠| 24K | $3,000 |
| 2022-12-13 | WINRED | 24K | $-24 |
| 2022-12-10 | WINRED | 24K | $0 |
| 2022-12-10 | WINRED | 24K | $-34 |
| 2022-12-10 | WINRED | 24K | $-8 |
| 2022-12-10 | WINRED | 24K | $-8 |
| 2022-12-08 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-12-05 | WINRED | 24K | $0 |
| 2022-12-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-34 |
| 2022-12-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-34 |
| 2022-12-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-34 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | HMP | contributed_to | $160,353 | pas2 | |
| β | VOTAR ES PODER PAC | opposes_independently | $13,710 | fec_ies | |
| β | SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICA | supports_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $3,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $777,600 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $126,333 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $356,400 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $9,602 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $259,200 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $126,333 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $14,256 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $9,450 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $126,333 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $3,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $4,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $233,280 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $54,584 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $49,863 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $14,256 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $14,256 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $14,256 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $14,256 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $51,594 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $14,256 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $8,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $25,853 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $126,333 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $13,400 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $3,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $25,853 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $14,256 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $16,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $11,200 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $126,333 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $14,256 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $1,314,027 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $50,414 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $14,256 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $350 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $14,256 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $1,231,848 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $3,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $14,256 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $9,602 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $16,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $259,200 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $1,141,029 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $14,256 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $21,546 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $259,200 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $8,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $12,535 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $11,200 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $12,535 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $30,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $55,893 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $151,200 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $4,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $1,231,848 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $3,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $350,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $7,750 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $1,800 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $4,746 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $6,423 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $1,800 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $2,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $4,746 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $6,423 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $111,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $6,813 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $6,768 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $8,383 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $8,481 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $8,481 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $8,383 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $1,800 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $1,800 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $4,241 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $4,241 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $9,551 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $6,785 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $8,481 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $4,746 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $53,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $15,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $194,971 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $53,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $17,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $58,438 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $14,025 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $9,400 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $45,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $132,434 | fec_ies |
Outbound (5)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JOHN DUARTE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | DUARTE FOR CA-13 | β | candidate_committees | |
| 2023-08-18 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 3238 β Affordable Housing Credit Improvement Act of 2023 | β | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2023-06-13 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 3397 β WEST Act of 2024 | β | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2023-05-10 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 3195 β Superior National Forest Restoration Act | β | cosponsor | sponsorship |