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YUSKEN, JOHN

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2CA14071
Internal id
7a93a079-3830-4a05-8f39-56dd24c1a2b8
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-14. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation738,570
PeopleMedian age40
IncomeMedian household income$142,599
IncomePer-capita income$63,232
IncomeIn poverty7.0%
IncomeUnemployed5.1%
IncomeGini inequality index0.443
RaceWhite alone27.3%
RaceBlack alone5.4%
RaceAsian alone39.6%
RaceHispanic or Latino24.9%
RaceTwo or more races12.5%
OriginForeign-born39.7%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home47.4%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home16.9%
EducationHigh school or higher65.8%
EducationBachelor's or higher48.1%
EducationAdvanced degree19.6%
HouseholdFamily households74.8%
HouseholdAvg household size2.93
HouseholdNever married (15+)31.7%
HousingMedian home value$1,083,400
HousingMedian gross rent$2,617
HousingSingle-family detached59.8%
HousingBuilt before 19404.8%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)8.3%
HousingVacant units4.1%
ServiceVeterans (18+)3.2%
HealthWith a disability9.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband95.9%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet2.9%
CommuteDrove alone61.1%
CommutePublic transit4.3%
CommuteWorked from home21.6%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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