BEACH, EMILY
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2CA14188- Internal id
b31cf6bc-4f75-49bc-b8ad-c01b8af45f41- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-15. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 738,509 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $149,727 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $74,964 |
| Income | In poverty | 7.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.486 |
| Race | White alone | 30.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 37.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 25.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 13.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 39.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 48.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 18.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 65.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 49.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 20.2% |
| Household | Family households | 68.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.85 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 35.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $1,414,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,849 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 51.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 11.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 8.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 2.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 95.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 55.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 7.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 22.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $580,609 | $580,609 | $0 | $0 | $561,407 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· CA-15 β lost_general
Committees
- EMILY BEACH FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $169,316 | $0 | 4 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | VOTEVETS | support | $6,334 | Digital Advertising Production |
| 2022-05-18 | VOTEVETS | support | $50,000 | Digital Advertising Buy - Estimated Cost |
| 2022-05-12 | WITH HONOR FUND, INC. | support | $46,680 | Direct Mail |
| 2022-05-12 | WITH HONOR FUND, INC. | support | $66,302 | Billboard Advertising |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-23 | VOTEVETS | 24E | $6,333 |
| 2022-05-18 | VOTEVETS | 24E | $46,868 |
| 2022-05-16 | VOTE MAMA | 24K | $1,500 |
| 2022-05-13 | WITH HONOR PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-05-12 | WITH HONOR FUND, INC. | 24E | $66,302 |
| 2022-05-12 | WITH HONOR FUND, INC. | 24E | $46,680 |
| 2022-04-29 | VOTEVETS | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-02-08 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (20)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | VOTEVETS | supports_independently | $6,334 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-23 | VOTEVETS | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $6,333 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-05-23 | VOTEVETS | contributed_to | $6,333 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-18 | VOTEVETS | supports_independently | $50,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-18 | VOTEVETS | contributed_to | $46,868 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-18 | VOTEVETS | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $46,868 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-05-16 | VOTE MAMA | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-05-16 | VOTE MAMA | contributed_to | $1,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-13 | WITH HONOR PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $5,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-05-13 | WITH HONOR PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-12 | WITH HONOR FUND, INC. | supports_independently | $66,302 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-12 | WITH HONOR FUND, INC. | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $46,680 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-05-12 | WITH HONOR FUND, INC. | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $66,302 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-05-12 | WITH HONOR FUND, INC. | contributed_to | $46,680 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-12 | WITH HONOR FUND, INC. | contributed_to | $66,302 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-12 | WITH HONOR FUND, INC. | supports_independently | $46,680 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-29 | VOTEVETS | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $5,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-04-29 | VOTEVETS | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-08 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-08 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $5,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | EMILY BEACH FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |