GIGLIO, DAVID ANTHONY

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2CA16134
Internal id: df6f6e88-61e7-4cbe-86b1-779e8e657955
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-13. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	785,894
People	Median age	32
Income	Median household income	$69,468
Income	Per-capita income	$27,323
Income	In poverty	18.8%
Income	Unemployed	10.3%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.453
Race	White alone	28.7%
Race	Black alone	2.9%
Race	Asian alone	6.8%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	66.1%
Race	Two or more races	24.9%
Origin	Foreign-born	27.1%
Language	Speaks English only at home	43.4%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	48.8%
Education	High school or higher	43.6%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	14.1%
Education	Advanced degree	4.1%
Household	Family households	75.8%
Household	Avg household size	3.45
Household	Never married (15+)	41.4%
Housing	Median home value	$395,000
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,361
Housing	Single-family detached	75.8%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.9%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	10.8%
Housing	Vacant units	5.3%
Service	Veterans (18+)	3.4%
Health	With a disability	12.2%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	89.5%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	8.4%
Commute	Drove alone	75.4%
Commute	Public transit	0.6%
Commute	Worked from home	7.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$737,065	$737,065	$0	$0	$388,020

Elections

2022 general house · CA-13 — lost_general

Committees

GIGLIO FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-02-28	EXCHANGE CONTRACTORS FEDERAL PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-02-25	WINRED	24K	$-105
2021-11-04	WINRED	24K	$-25
2021-09-18	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2021-08-28	WINRED	24K	$-500
2021-08-23	WINRED	24K	$-135
2021-08-23	WINRED	24K	$-130
2021-08-23	WINRED	24K	$-1,400
2021-08-23	WINRED	24K	$-275
2021-08-23	WINRED	24K	$-190
2021-08-23	WINRED	24K	$-400
2021-07-26	WINRED	24K	$-1,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (12)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-02-28	EXCHANGE CONTRACTORS FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-02-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-105	pas2
2021-11-04	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2021-09-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2021-08-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-500	pas2
2021-08-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-190	pas2
2021-08-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,400	pas2
2021-08-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-275	pas2
2021-08-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-400	pas2
2021-08-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-130	pas2
2021-08-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-135	pas2
2021-07-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	GIGLIO FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	—		candidate_committees

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