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TANAKA, GREG

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2CA18130
Internal id
67a96563-9352-473a-8d78-7aff0f5e99c7
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-18. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation753,842
PeopleMedian age35
IncomeMedian household income$103,584
IncomePer-capita income$40,617
IncomeIn poverty11.6%
IncomeUnemployed5.3%
IncomeGini inequality index0.449
RaceWhite alone25.7%
RaceBlack alone2.1%
RaceAsian alone11.8%
RaceHispanic or Latino65.5%
RaceTwo or more races23.7%
OriginForeign-born34.1%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home37.7%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home51.1%
EducationHigh school or higher48.0%
EducationBachelor's or higher24.4%
EducationAdvanced degree8.1%
HouseholdFamily households74.5%
HouseholdAvg household size3.36
HouseholdNever married (15+)42.5%
HousingMedian home value$834,300
HousingMedian gross rent$2,116
HousingSingle-family detached57.8%
HousingBuilt before 19405.1%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)15.9%
HousingVacant units5.3%
ServiceVeterans (18+)2.9%
HealthWith a disability9.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband93.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet4.5%
CommuteDrove alone68.5%
CommutePublic transit1.7%
CommuteWorked from home11.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2022$148,222$148,222$0$0$147,222
2020$0$0$0$0$0

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$265,250$06

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2022-05-31DAO FOR AMERICAsupport$33,000Phone and Text Communication
2022-05-27DAO FOR AMERICAsupport$11,500Digital Advertising
2022-05-27DAO FOR AMERICAsupport$72,500Direct mail
2022-05-18DAO FOR AMERICAsupport$48,440Prepayment of direct mail
2022-05-18DAO FOR AMERICAsupport$48,440Prepayment of direct mail
2022-05-10DAO FOR AMERICAsupport$51,370prepayment for phone and texting program

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-05-31DAO FOR AMERICA24E$33,000
2022-05-31DAO FOR AMERICA24E$33,000
2022-05-27DAO FOR AMERICA24E$11,500
2022-05-27DAO FOR AMERICA24E$72,500
2022-05-27DAO FOR AMERICA24E$11,500
2022-05-27DAO FOR AMERICA24E$72,500
2022-05-18DAO FOR AMERICA24E$35,000
2022-05-18DAO FOR AMERICA24E$48,440
2022-05-18DAO FOR AMERICA24E$48,440
2022-05-10DAO FOR AMERICA24E$47,860
2022-05-10DAO FOR AMERICA24E$51,370
2022-02-10ASIAN AMERICAN FORWARD24K$1,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (18)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-05-31DAO FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$33,000pas2
2022-05-31DAO FOR AMERICAsupports_independently$33,000fec_ies
2022-05-31DAO FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$33,000pas2
2022-05-27DAO FOR AMERICAsupports_independently$11,500fec_ies
2022-05-27DAO FOR AMERICAsupports_independently$72,500fec_ies
2022-05-27DAO FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$11,500pas2
2022-05-27DAO FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$72,500pas2
2022-05-27DAO FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$11,500pas2
2022-05-27DAO FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$72,500pas2
2022-05-18DAO FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$48,440pas2
2022-05-18DAO FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$35,000pas2
2022-05-18DAO FOR AMERICAsupports_independently$48,440fec_ies
2022-05-18DAO FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$48,440pas2
2022-05-18DAO FOR AMERICAsupports_independently$48,440fec_ies
2022-05-10DAO FOR AMERICAsupports_independently$51,370fec_ies
2022-05-10DAO FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$47,860pas2
2022-05-10DAO FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$51,370pas2
2022-02-10ASIAN AMERICAN FORWARDcontributed_to$1,000pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofGREG TANAKA FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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