JACOBS, MATTHEW

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2CA26133
Internal id: 05b6cbfe-7421-44c2-a5e1-c8acddfd63e3
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-26. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	751,824
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$115,527
Income	Per-capita income	$52,156
Income	In poverty	9.0%
Income	Unemployed	5.9%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.459
Race	White alone	51.0%
Race	Black alone	1.9%
Race	Asian alone	7.8%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	44.3%
Race	Two or more races	25.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	23.6%
Language	Speaks English only at home	59.9%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	30.8%
Education	High school or higher	56.3%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	37.5%
Education	Advanced degree	14.5%
Household	Family households	73.8%
Household	Avg household size	3.00
Household	Never married (15+)	34.4%
Housing	Median home value	$839,600
Housing	Median gross rent	$2,412
Housing	Single-family detached	63.8%
Housing	Built before 1940	2.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	7.0%
Housing	Vacant units	5.1%
Service	Veterans (18+)	4.7%
Health	With a disability	11.1%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	94.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	3.9%
Commute	Drove alone	70.1%
Commute	Public transit	0.5%
Commute	Worked from home	16.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$817	$45,671	$0	$0	$630
2022	$2,655,737	$2,610,882	$44,854	$27,583	$2,290,500

Elections

2022 general house · CA-26 — lost_general

Committees

MATT JACOBS FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$0	$460,315	6

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2022-11-04	WOMEN VOTE	oppose	$7,404	Digital Media Buy
2022-10-28	CENTER FORWARD COMMITTEE	oppose	$50,000	Digital media buy (estimated)
2022-10-27	WOMEN VOTE	oppose	$9,901	TV & Digital Media Production
2022-10-27	WOMEN VOTE	oppose	$37,463	Digital Media Buy
2022-10-27	WOMEN VOTE	oppose	$74,579	TV Media Buy
2022-10-25	WOMEN VOTE	oppose	$280,969	TV Media Buy

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-12-08	WINRED	24K	$-50
2022-12-08	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-12-08	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-12-08	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-12-08	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-11-28	WOMEN VOTE	24A	$25,950
2022-11-28	WINRED	24K	$-35
2022-11-16	PROVEN CONSERVATIVES PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-11-07	MAKING AMERICA PROSPEROUS PAC	24K	$1,500
2022-11-07	FOREVER YOUTH ORGANIZATION UTILIZING A NEW GENE…	24K	$3,000
2022-11-07	GET AMERICA RIGHT: COMMUNITY IN ACTION	24K	$2,900
2022-11-04	STRYKR PAC	24K	$2,900
2022-11-04	WOMEN VOTE	24A	$7,404
2022-11-04	MAKING AMERICA PROSPEROUS PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-11-04	U.S. ISRAEL PAC (USI PAC)	24K	$1,000
2022-11-03	GARY PALMER FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,500
2022-11-03	MVL PAC	24K	$2,900
2022-11-03	AMERICAN REVIVAL PAC	24K	$1,500
2022-11-02	FRIENDS FOR CHRIS STEWART, INC.	24K	$1,000
2022-11-01	JAM PAC	24K	$2,000
2022-11-01	REPUBLICAN JEWISH COALITION POLITICAL ACTION CO…	24K	$2,500
2022-11-01	AMERICAN GRIT PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-10-31	BIG IDEAS CREATE EXCELLENCE PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-10-31	SALEM MEDIA GROUP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE, I…	24K	$1,000
2022-10-31	ELECTING MAJORITY MAKING EFFECTIVE REPUBLICANS …	24K	$2,500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-11-28	WOMEN VOTE	contributed_to	$25,950	pas2
2022-11-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-35	pas2
2022-11-16	PROVEN CONSERVATIVES PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-07	FOREVER YOUTH ORGANIZATION UTILIZING A NEW GENERATION PAC	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2022-11-07	GET AMERICA RIGHT: COMMUNITY IN ACTION	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-11-07	MAKING AMERICA PROSPEROUS PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-11-04	WOMEN VOTE	opposes_independently	$7,404	fec_ies
2022-11-04	MAKING AMERICA PROSPEROUS PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-04	WOMEN VOTE	contributed_to	$7,404	pas2
2022-11-04	STRYKR PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-11-04	U.S. ISRAEL PAC (USI PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-03	MVL PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-11-03	GARY PALMER FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-11-03	AMERICAN REVIVAL PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-11-02	FRIENDS FOR CHRIS STEWART, INC.	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-01	REPUBLICAN JEWISH COALITION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (RJC-PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-11-01	JAM PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-11-01	AMERICAN GRIT PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-31	CAROL FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-31	LET'S ALL KEEP ELECTING REPUBLICANS PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-31	BIG IDEAS CREATE EXCELLENCE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-31	ELECTING MAJORITY MAKING EFFECTIVE REPUBLICANS PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-31	SALEM MEDIA GROUP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE, INC.	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-28	AUTOMOTIVE FREE INTERNATIONAL TRADE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-28	CENTER FORWARD	opposes_independently	$50,000	fec_ies
2022-10-28	CENTER FORWARD	contributed_to	$50,000	pas2
2022-10-28	BOLD ACTIVE CONSERVATIVES OF NEBRASKA PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-28	CHESAPEAKE FREEDOM PAC	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2022-10-28	TEXAS REPUBLICANS UNITED POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (TRU PAC)	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-10-27	WOMEN VOTE	contributed_to	$9,901	pas2
2022-10-27	WOMEN VOTE	opposes_independently	$37,463	fec_ies
2022-10-27	WOMEN VOTE	opposes_independently	$74,579	fec_ies
2022-10-27	UPPER HAND FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-27	WOMEN VOTE	contributed_to	$74,578	pas2
2022-10-27	WOMEN VOTE	contributed_to	$37,462	pas2
2022-10-27	WOMEN VOTE	opposes_independently	$9,901	fec_ies
2022-10-26	CMR POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-26	BOG-PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-10-26	VICTORY AND FREEDOM PAC (VAF PAC)	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2022-10-26	NOOGA PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-26	AMERICAN SECURITY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-25	WOMEN VOTE	opposes_independently	$280,969	fec_ies
2022-10-25	WOMEN VOTE	contributed_to	$255,018	pas2
2022-10-25	STRENGTHENING THE AMERICAN REPUBLIC (STAR) PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-24	DAVID ROUZER FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-22	WALBERG FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-21	MCCLINTOCK FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-21	MR. SOUTHERN MISSOURIAN IN THE HOUSE PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-21	PINE TREES PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-10-21	UPSTATE SC PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-10-20	BUILDING LEADERSHIP AND INSPIRING NEW ENTERPRISE PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-20	DEFENDING THE AMERICAN DREAM PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-10-19	RAPTOR PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-19	HEARTDOCPAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-19	ABRAHAM LINCOLN LEADERSHIP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-18	STAND PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-18	HSP DIRECT LLC PAC HSP PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-18	ANDY HARRIS FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-18	BRINGING REPUBLICAN EXCELLENCE TO TOWN PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-17	BE VICTORIOUS OVER DEMOCRATS PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-14	LAND OF OPPORTUNITY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-14	POINT PAC, INC.	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-13	REPUBLICAN GOVERNANCE GROUP/TUESDAY GROUP PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-10-12	FREEDOM FORCE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-12	CHAMBER OF COMMERCE OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA PAC (US CHAMBER PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-11	INVEST IN A STRONG AND SECURE AMERICA	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-10-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,500	pas2
2022-10-06	GUY FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-06	DELIVERING AMERICAN VALUES IN DC PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-30	FOREVER YOUTH ORGANIZATION UTILIZING A NEW GENERATION PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-30	SALEM MEDIA GROUP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE, INC.	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-30	EUREKA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-30	DEMAND RESULTS PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-28	HELLFIRE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-28	JOY PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-28	VITORIA PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-27	NRCC	contributed_to	$105,000	pas2
2022-09-27	REPUBLICAN GOVERNANCE GROUP/TUESDAY GROUP PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-09-22	AMERICA STRONG AND FREE PAC INC.	contributed_to	$900	pas2
2022-09-20	NRCC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-25	CLF	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-08-19	STOP COLLECTIVISM OR TOTALITARIANISM TRIUMPHS PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-08-16	RALPH NORMAN FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-12	HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-08	TEAPARTYEXPRESS.ORG	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-01	REPUBLICAN JEWISH COALITION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (RJC-PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-07-25	AMERICA STRONG AND FREE PAC INC.	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-07-08	CHAMBER OF COMMERCE OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA PAC (US CHAMBER PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-06-27	ADRIAN SMITH FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-24	EUREKA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-06-23	SCALISE FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-06-23	THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-06-13	CGCN PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	MATT JACOBS FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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