GIN, MIKE
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2CA36280- Internal id
a482bb62-d221-4576-a6d2-f2f11a6533f5- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-36. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 738,907 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $130,594 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $84,817 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.512 |
| Race | White alone | 55.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 18.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 16.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 14.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 23.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 68.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 10.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 76.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 67.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 28.4% |
| Household | Family households | 52.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.22 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 40.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $1,538,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,600 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 38.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 8.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 8.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 95.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 2.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 54.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 32.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $35,458 | $0 |
| 2012 | $170,453 | $170,453 | $0 | $35,458 | $130,125 |
Elections
- 2011 general house Β· CA-36 β running
Committees
- MIKE GIN FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MIKE GIN FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |