MATHEWS, E. PETER
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2CA38062- Internal id
813c738a-82a2-4341-b1d6-c6c7b8b67b0f- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-47. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 754,999 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $127,854 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $70,414 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.478 |
| Race | White alone | 52.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 24.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 17.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 14.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 27.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 63.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 10.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 71.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 59.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 24.0% |
| Household | Family households | 61.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.48 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $1,190,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,811 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 42.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 8.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 95.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 2.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 62.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 25.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $12,676 | $5,764 | $6,911 | $2,100 | $6,450 |
| 2014 | $100 | $100 | $6 | $362,594 | $0 |
| 2012 | $5,969 | $6,006 | $6 | $360,994 | $5,919 |
| 2010 | $36,587 | $36,281 | $44 | $348,050 | $20,197 |
| 2008 | $97,690 | $98,042 | $-322 | $310,336 | $52,088 |
| 2006 | $62,747 | $62,926 | $31 | $251,504 | $2,565 |
| 2004 | $36,573 | $36,729 | $210 | $165,285 | $9,460 |
| 2002 | $45,175 | $45,244 | $365 | $132,895 | $33,229 |
| 2000 | $75,602 | $75,843 | $435 | $118,187 | $27,416 |
| 1998 | $166,038 | $165,594 | $678 | $54,418 | $147,979 |
| 1996 | $102,293 | $104,998 | $235 | $39,315 | $89,443 |
| 1994 | $436,048 | $433,706 | $2,649 | $13,695 | $404,676 |
| 1992 | $44,466 | $44,159 | $307 | $4,800 | $32,166 |
Elections
- 1992 general house Β· CA-38 β lost_general
- 1994 general house Β· CA-38 β lost_general
- 1996 general house Β· CA-38 β lost_general
- 1998 general house Β· CA-38 β lost_general
- 2000 general house Β· CA-38 β lost_general
- 2002 general house Β· CA-37 β lost_general
- 2004 general house Β· CA-37 β lost_general
- 2006 general house Β· CA-37 β lost_general
- 2008 general house Β· CA-37 β lost_general
- 2010 general house Β· CA-37 β lost_general
- 2012 general house Β· CA-47 β lost_general
Committees
- MATHEWS FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- PETER MATHEWS FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | PETER MATHEWS FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | MATHEWS FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |