MOSELY, BRANDON
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2CA42189- Internal id
6f35b70d-5ff1-42ca-981f-c5d1724adc4f- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-41. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 797,949 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $103,180 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $46,539 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.454 |
| Race | White alone | 47.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 8.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 40.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 19.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 18.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 66.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 25.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 55.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.4% |
| Household | Family households | 72.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.94 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $626,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,976 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 67.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 16.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $5,588 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $205,883 | $200,778 | $5,588 | $0 | $183,772 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· CA-41 β lost_general
Committees
- BRANDON MOSELY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-30 | ELECT EDUCATORS EVERYWHERE | 24K | $500 |
| 2021-10-21 | INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS LOCA⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
| 2021-09-14 | INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, β¦ | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2021-08-31 | THE COLLECTIVE PAC | 24K | $4,000 |
| 2021-06-25 | VPP | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2021-05-03 | SD PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (6)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-30 | ELECT EDUCATORS EVERYWHERE | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-21 | INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS LOCAL NO. 12 FEDERAL PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-14 | INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, RAIL AND TRANSPORTATION WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION LEAGUE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-08-31 | THE COLLECTIVE PAC | contributed_to | $4,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-25 | VPP | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-03 | SD PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BRANDON MOSELY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |