LYONS, MICHELLE
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H2CA47170- Internal id
b082ab60-1ed7-4a4f-b3f4-431667ddb863- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-47. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 754,999 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $127,854 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $70,414 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.478 |
| Race | White alone | 52.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 24.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 17.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 14.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 27.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 63.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 10.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 71.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 59.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 24.0% |
| Household | Family households | 61.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.48 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $1,190,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,811 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 42.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 8.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 95.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 2.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 62.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 25.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $21,515 | $12,177 | $9,338 | $20,217 | $21,415 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· CA-47 β lost_general
Committees
- MICHELLE LYONS FOR CONGRESS 2022 β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-21 | JOE COLLINS FOR CONGRESS | 24Z | $208 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-21 | JOE COLLINS FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $208 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MICHELLE LYONS FOR CONGRESS 2022 | β | candidate_committees |