BARTLETT, LISA
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2CA49267- Internal id
a02037cb-eaee-4a8a-9240-2156e9e7e142- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-49. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 754,648 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $121,073 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $62,491 |
| Income | In poverty | 7.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.472 |
| Race | White alone | 60.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 7.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 27.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 20.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 17.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 73.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 17.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 64.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 49.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 19.5% |
| Household | Family households | 70.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.69 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $1,043,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,582 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 52.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 95.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 2.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 63.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 22.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $11,879 | $7,859 | $4,172 | $152,902 | $7,900 |
| 2024 | $2,453 | $7,883 | $152 | $160,312 | $1,500 |
| 2022 | $572,050 | $566,468 | $5,582 | $167,188 | $504,789 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· CA-49 β lost_general
Committees
- LISA BARTLETT FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $48,085 | $0 | 2 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-24 | USA LEADERSHIP FUND | support | $24,043 | Direct Mail |
| 2022-05-24 | USA LEADERSHIP FUND | support | $24,043 | Direct Mail |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-24 | USA LEADERSHIP FUND | 24E | $24,042 |
| 2022-05-24 | USA LEADERSHIP FUND | 24E | $24,042 |
| 2022-05-04 | HERZOG PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-03-11 | LOG CABIN REPUBLICANS PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-03-08 | WSP USA INC. PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (7)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-24 | FOR THE USA | contributed_to | $24,042 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-24 | FOR THE USA | contributed_to | $24,042 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-24 | FOR THE USA | supports_independently | $24,043 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-24 | FOR THE USA | supports_independently | $24,043 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-04 | HERZOG PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-11 | LOG CABIN REPUBLICANS PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-08 | WSP USA INC. PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | LISA BARTLETT FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |