WILLIAMS, KELLY
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2DC01029- Internal id
5498fd36-7495-416c-baf7-71b3fb440b66- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $3,962,768 | $1,841 | $3,959,483 | $0 | $3,962,768 |
| 2024 | $23,325 | $21,838 | $4,042 | $0 | $12,625 |
| 2022 | $27,814 | $22,703 | $5,112 | $9,773 | $15,476 |
Elections
No elections on file.
Committees
- FRIENDS OF KELLY WILLIAMS β principal Β· type H
- KELLY MIKEL FOR DC β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS OF KELLY WILLIAMS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | KELLY MIKEL FOR DC | β | candidate_committees |