HILL, ANTHONY TONY
D · house
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- FEC candidate id
H2FL04195- Internal id
809cab7e-01f2-44d0-82ce-f9718cbaabcd- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 797,286 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $71,083 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $36,995 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.453 |
| Race | White alone | 54.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 30.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 9.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 27.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.0% |
| Household | Family households | 65.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.54 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $285,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,359 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 69.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 12.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $250 | $0 | $19,142 | $0 | $250 |
| 2024 | $0 | $1,200 | $18,892 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $60,104 | $36,915 | $20,243 | $0 | $47,079 |
Elections
- 2022 general house · FL-4 — lost_general
Committees
- ANTHONY TONY HILL FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-23 | AFL-CIO COPE POLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS COMMITTEE | 24K | $3,000 |
| 2022-08-23 | AMERICAN FEDERATION OF TEACHERS, AFL-CIO COMMIT… | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-08-18 | INTERNATIONAL UNION OF PAINTERS AND ALLIED TRAD… | 24K | $3,000 |
| 2022-08-11 | INTERNATIONAL LONGSHOREMEN'S ASSOCIATION COMMIT… | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-08-10 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS… | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-08-09 | AMALGAMATED TRANSIT UNION - COPE | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-08-09 | D.R.I.V.E. - DEM, REP, IND VOTER ED (THE PAC OF… | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-08-02 | AFL-CIO COPE POLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS COMMITTEE | 24K | $1,273 |
| 2022-07-27 | UNITED MINE WORKERS OF AMERICA - COAL MINERS PO… | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-07-27 | INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, … | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-07-27 | AMERICAN POSTAL WORKERS UNION COMMITTEE ON POLI… | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-07-07 | AMERICAN FEDERATION OF GOVT. EMPL. POLITICAL AC… | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-06-29 | MACHINISTS NON PARTISAN POLITICAL LEAGUE OF THE… | 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (13)
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | ANTHONY TONY HILL FOR CONGRESS | — | candidate_committees |