AYALA, ARAMIS
D Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H2FL10192- Internal id
c254f879-08e3-4151-b9c4-c1310a6ec1f3- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-10. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 788,933 |
| People | Median age | 35 |
| Income | Median household income | $71,412 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $38,346 |
| Income | In poverty | 15.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.486 |
| Race | White alone | 40.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 26.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 30.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 18.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 23.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 64.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 22.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 37.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.5% |
| Household | Family households | 60.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.60 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 44.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $360,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,692 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 48.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $205,979 | $205,979 | $0 | $0 | $171,511 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· FL-10 β lost_general
Committees
- ARAMIS AYALA FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-27 | DEMOCRATS SERVE | 24K | $259 |
| 2021-09-30 | WAY TO LEAD PAC | 24K | $2,900 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-27 | DEMOCRATS SERVE | contributed_to | $259 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-30 | WAY TO LEAD PAC | contributed_to | $2,900 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ARAMIS AYALA FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |