SMITH, LAWRENCE JACK
D Β· house Β· bioguide S000586
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- FEC candidate id
H2FL12016- Internal id
c3842fcb-fb2f-4190-83cf-3cd92ef77fab- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-16. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 830,753 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $84,737 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $44,645 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.453 |
| Race | White alone | 63.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 12.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 21.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 15.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 14.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 77.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 15.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.5% |
| Household | Family households | 68.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.57 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 26.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $381,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,784 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 59.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 0.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 9.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 18.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | $195 | $4,800 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1996 | $6,037 | $74,898 | $4,605 | $0 | $0 |
| 1994 | $22,589 | $206,339 | $73,467 | $0 | $0 |
| 1992 | $218,380 | $375,006 | $257,218 | $0 | $87,143 |
| 1990 | $527,994 | $275,873 | $413,843 | $0 | $235,541 |
| 1988 | $700,550 | $606,334 | $151,246 | $0 | $347,654 |
| 1986 | $848,821 | $878,922 | $57,030 | $10,100 | $0 |
| 1984 | $647,188 | $561,858 | $87,131 | $5,541 | $305,861 |
| 1982 | $253,607 | $243,304 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 1982 general house Β· FL-16 β won
- 1984 general house Β· FL-16 β won
- 1986 general house Β· FL-16 β won
- 1988 general house Β· FL-16 β won
- 1990 general house Β· FL-16 β won
- 1992 general house Β· FL-16 β won
Committees
No committees on file.
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (8)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | educated_at | Brooklyn Law School | β | wikidata | |
| 1991-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1989-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1987-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1985-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1983-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1978-11-21 | held_position | member of the Florida House of Representatives | β | wikidata | |
| 1958-01-01 | educated_at | New York University | β | wikidata |