TOLEDO, JACKIE

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2FL15191
Internal id: d2285eaa-a3fb-4a36-bea3-83a92e4a3798
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-15. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	813,472
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$71,624
Income	Per-capita income	$38,483
Income	In poverty	13.7%
Income	Unemployed	4.5%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.466
Race	White alone	54.4%
Race	Black alone	14.3%
Race	Asian alone	5.2%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	27.5%
Race	Two or more races	18.0%
Origin	Foreign-born	16.9%
Language	Speaks English only at home	72.2%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	19.8%
Education	High school or higher	61.0%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	33.9%
Education	Advanced degree	12.9%
Household	Family households	64.8%
Household	Avg household size	2.60
Household	Never married (15+)	34.6%
Housing	Median home value	$326,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,490
Housing	Single-family detached	53.3%
Housing	Built before 1940	1.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.2%
Housing	Vacant units	9.2%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.9%
Health	With a disability	13.3%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.7%
Commute	Drove alone	67.0%
Commute	Public transit	0.7%
Commute	Worked from home	19.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$0	$0	$83	$38,886	$0
2024	$861	$1,079	$83	$38,886	$0
2022	$599,076	$598,775	$300	$38,886	$588,518

Elections

2022 general house · FL-15 — lost_general

Committees

JACKIE TOLEDO FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$15,956	$37,217	4

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2022-08-11	CONSERVATIVE ACTION FUND	oppose	$3,108	DIRECT MAIL: PRINTING AND POSTAGE
2022-08-10	ENGINEERING AMERICA'S FUTURE	support	$2,683	voter contact/text messaging
2022-08-05	ENGINEERING AMERICA'S FUTURE	support	$13,273	voter contact/text messaging
2022-08-04	CONSERVATIVE WARRIORS PAC	oppose	$34,108	Direct Mail

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-08-18	AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR JUSTICE POLITICAL ACTI…	24K	$2,500
2022-08-17	AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR JUSTICE POLITICAL ACTI…	24K	$-5,000
2022-08-11	CONSERVATIVE ACTION FUND	24A	$3,108
2022-08-10	ENGINEERING AMERICA'S FUTURE	24E	$2,682
2022-08-05	ENGINEERING AMERICA'S FUTURE	24E	$13,273
2022-08-04	CONSERVATIVE WARRIORS PAC	24A	$34,108
2022-08-03	ENGINEERING AMERICA'S FUTURE	24E	$513
2022-08-03	ENGINEERING AMERICA'S FUTURE	24E	$350
2022-07-25	MAGGIE'S LIST	24K	$1,000
2022-06-30	CAROL FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,000
2022-06-28	AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR JUSTICE POLITICAL ACTI…	24K	$5,000
2022-05-09	FLORIDA TRANSPORTATION BUILDERS ASSOCIATION, IN…	24K	$2,500
2022-05-03	AKERMAN LLP PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-04-25	MAGGIE'S LIST	24K	$1,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (18)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-08-18	AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR JUSTICE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AAJ PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-08-17	AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR JUSTICE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AAJ PAC)	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2022-08-11	CONSERVATIVE ACTION COMMITTEE	opposes_independently	$3,108	fec_ies
2022-08-11	CONSERVATIVE ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$3,108	pas2
2022-08-10	ENGINEERING AMERICA'S FUTURE	supports_independently	$2,683	fec_ies
2022-08-10	ENGINEERING AMERICA'S FUTURE	contributed_to	$2,682	pas2
2022-08-05	ENGINEERING AMERICA'S FUTURE	contributed_to	$13,273	pas2
2022-08-05	ENGINEERING AMERICA'S FUTURE	supports_independently	$13,273	fec_ies
2022-08-04	CONSERVATIVE WARRIORS PAC	opposes_independently	$34,108	fec_ies
2022-08-04	CONSERVATIVE WARRIORS PAC	contributed_to	$34,108	pas2
2022-08-03	ENGINEERING AMERICA'S FUTURE	contributed_to	$513	pas2
2022-08-03	ENGINEERING AMERICA'S FUTURE	contributed_to	$350	pas2
2022-07-25	MAGGIE'S LIST	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-30	CAROL FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-28	AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR JUSTICE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AAJ PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-05-09	FLORIDA TRANSPORTATION BUILDERS ASSOCIATION, INC. FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-05-03	AKERMAN LLP PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-04-25	MAGGIE'S LIST	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	JACKIE TOLEDO FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

pac.dog is a free, independent, non-partisan research tool. Every candidate, committee, bill, vote, member, and nonprofit on this site is mirrored from primary U.S. government sources (FEC, congress.gov, govinfo.gov, IRS) and each state's Secretary of State / election commission — no third-party data vendors, no paywall, no editorial intermediation. Citations to the originating source are on every detail page.