HOLNESS, DALE V.C. MR.

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2FL20159
Internal id: 7ae568ae-ec78-40de-8620-a9cea834a02a
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-20. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	792,510
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$64,018
Income	Per-capita income	$31,663
Income	In poverty	16.0%
Income	Unemployed	6.7%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.450
Race	White alone	22.6%
Race	Black alone	49.9%
Race	Asian alone	2.8%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	24.9%
Race	Two or more races	18.5%
Origin	Foreign-born	36.1%
Language	Speaks English only at home	61.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	21.4%
Education	High school or higher	56.7%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	25.9%
Education	Advanced degree	9.2%
Household	Family households	64.7%
Household	Avg household size	2.74
Household	Never married (15+)	39.2%
Housing	Median home value	$321,500
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,744
Housing	Single-family detached	39.3%
Housing	Built before 1940	1.1%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	6.5%
Housing	Vacant units	10.4%
Service	Veterans (18+)	3.9%
Health	With a disability	12.3%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	89.8%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	6.9%
Commute	Drove alone	71.9%
Commute	Public transit	3.0%
Commute	Worked from home	9.9%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$306,516	$12,926	$312,672	$161,000	$234,729
2024	$0	$120	$19,082	$90,000	$0
2022	$1,232,684	$1,213,482	$19,202	$90,000	$1,124,275

Elections

2022 general house · FL-20 — lost_general
2024 general house · FL-20 — lost_general
2026 general house · FL-20 — running

Committees

HOLNESS FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-05-02	EMPOWER DEMOCRACY NOW POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$2,000
2022-04-27	EMPOWER DEMOCRACY NOW POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$2,900
2022-01-07	NEXTERA ENERGY, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$-2,500
2021-11-15	FLORIDA FREEDOM PAC	24E	$100
2021-11-08	FLORIDA FREEDOM PAC	24E	$22,135
2021-10-28	SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNIO…	24K	$5,000
2021-10-26	32BJ UNITED AMERICAN DREAM FUND	24E	$24,596
2021-10-26	32BJ UNITED AMERICAN DREAM FUND	24E	$15,000
2021-10-25	32BJ UNITED AMERICAN DREAM FUND	24E	$24,596
2021-10-25	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS	24F	$5,091
2021-10-25	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS	24F	$240
2021-10-24	32BJ UNITED AMERICAN DREAM FUND	24E	$23,461
2021-10-21	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI…	24K	$5,000
2021-10-16	32BJ UNITED AMERICAN DREAM FUND	24E	$7,350
2021-10-16	32BJ UNITED AMERICAN DREAM FUND	24E	$19,491
2021-09-30	HASTINGS FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,000
2021-07-15	NEXTERA ENERGY, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$2,500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (17)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-05-02	EMPOWER DEMOCRACY NOW POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-04-27	EMPOWER DEMOCRACY NOW POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-01-07	NEXTERA ENERGY, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2021-11-15	FLORIDA FREEDOM PAC	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2021-11-08	FLORIDA FREEDOM PAC	contributed_to	$22,135	pas2
2021-10-28	SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-10-26	32BJ UNITED AMERICAN DREAM FUND	contributed_to	$24,596	pas2
2021-10-26	32BJ UNITED AMERICAN DREAM FUND	contributed_to	$15,000	pas2
2021-10-25	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS	contributed_to	$5,091	pas2
2021-10-25	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS	contributed_to	$240	pas2
2021-10-25	32BJ UNITED AMERICAN DREAM FUND	contributed_to	$24,596	pas2
2021-10-24	32BJ UNITED AMERICAN DREAM FUND	contributed_to	$23,461	pas2
2021-10-21	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-10-16	32BJ UNITED AMERICAN DREAM FUND	contributed_to	$7,350	pas2
2021-10-16	32BJ UNITED AMERICAN DREAM FUND	contributed_to	$19,491	pas2
2021-09-30	HASTINGS FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-07-15	NEXTERA ENERGY, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	HOLNESS FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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