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CALABRESE, CURTIS

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2FL22189
Internal id
60773d95-eb65-463b-b096-a244c4f20e74
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-22. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation786,471
PeopleMedian age46
IncomeMedian household income$81,071
IncomePer-capita income$50,055
IncomeIn poverty11.6%
IncomeUnemployed5.8%
IncomeGini inequality index0.515
RaceWhite alone51.4%
RaceBlack alone17.7%
RaceAsian alone2.7%
RaceHispanic or Latino28.4%
RaceTwo or more races17.3%
OriginForeign-born30.9%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home60.9%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home24.0%
EducationHigh school or higher62.1%
EducationBachelor's or higher38.4%
EducationAdvanced degree15.3%
HouseholdFamily households63.1%
HouseholdAvg household size2.50
HouseholdNever married (15+)30.8%
HousingMedian home value$416,500
HousingMedian gross rent$1,876
HousingSingle-family detached46.7%
HousingBuilt before 19401.5%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)3.5%
HousingVacant units16.8%
ServiceVeterans (18+)4.9%
HealthWith a disability12.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet5.3%
CommuteDrove alone69.2%
CommutePublic transit1.6%
CommuteWorked from home14.9%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2022$10,022$10,022$0$0$8,328

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-09-08AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PAC24K$-2,500
2022-08-08UNITED PILOTS PAC/UNITED AIRLINES MASTER EXECUT…24K$-1,000
2022-04-28AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PAC24K$2,500
2022-04-11UNITED PILOTS PAC/UNITED AIRLINES MASTER EXECUT…24K$1,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (4)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-09-08AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PACcontributed_to$-2,500pas2
2022-08-08UNITED PILOTS PAC/UNITED AIRLINES MASTER EXECUTIVE COUNCILcontributed_to$-1,000pas2
2022-04-28AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PACcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2022-04-11UNITED PILOTS PAC/UNITED AIRLINES MASTER EXECUTIVE COUNCILcontributed_to$1,000pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofCURTIS CALABRESE FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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