MARKEL, HOMER CHIP MR.
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2IL12197- Internal id
bcfc9695-6a93-4813-9b6d-e07d45b1b843- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-12. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 746,831 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $68,540 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $36,989 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.451 |
| Race | White alone | 88.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 3.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 2.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 96.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 55.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 24.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.3% |
| Household | Family households | 63.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.36 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $151,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $835 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 75.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 12.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 17.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 86.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 10.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 80.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $2,615 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $65,213 | $62,599 | $2,615 | $8,756 | $33,701 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· IL-12 β lost_general
Committees
- CHIP MARKEL FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-25 | D.R.I.V.E. - DEM, REP, IND VOTER ED (THE PAC OF⦠| 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-10-25 | D.R.I.V.E. - DEM, REP, IND VOTER ED (THE PAC OF⦠| 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-10-24 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-10-11 | PRAIRIE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-08-25 | ILLINOIS DEMOCRATIC COUNTY CHAIRS' ASSOCIATION | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-08-16 | MACHINISTS NON PARTISAN POLITICAL LEAGUE OF THE⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (6)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-25 | D.R.I.V.E. - DEM, REP, IND VOTER ED (THE PAC OF THE INT'L BRHD OF TEAMSTERS) | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-25 | D.R.I.V.E. - DEM, REP, IND VOTER ED (THE PAC OF THE INT'L BRHD OF TEAMSTERS) | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-24 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-11 | PRAIRIE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-25 | ILLINOIS DEMOCRATIC COUNTY CHAIRS' ASSOCIATION | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-16 | MACHINISTS NON PARTISAN POLITICAL LEAGUE OF THE INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MACHINISTS & AEROSPACE WORKERS | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CHIP MARKEL FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |