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LAUF, CATALINA

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2IL16107
Internal id
713ddc5b-39ba-4a57-a845-f8895778b6b7
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-11. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation754,751
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$109,255
IncomePer-capita income$53,193
IncomeIn poverty7.0%
IncomeUnemployed4.7%
IncomeGini inequality index0.440
RaceWhite alone65.4%
RaceBlack alone6.0%
RaceAsian alone8.8%
RaceHispanic or Latino19.4%
RaceTwo or more races13.0%
OriginForeign-born16.2%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home75.3%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home13.7%
EducationHigh school or higher65.8%
EducationBachelor's or higher45.7%
EducationAdvanced degree18.1%
HouseholdFamily households70.7%
HouseholdAvg household size2.66
HouseholdNever married (15+)31.1%
HousingMedian home value$345,200
HousingMedian gross rent$1,627
HousingSingle-family detached66.4%
HousingBuilt before 19401.9%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.2%
HousingVacant units3.4%
ServiceVeterans (18+)4.6%
HealthWith a disability9.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband94.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet3.7%
CommuteDrove alone68.6%
CommutePublic transit2.6%
CommuteWorked from home19.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2024$8,278$60,517$0$0$3,726
2022$2,775,560$2,723,321$52,239$0$2,296,511

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$373,039$035

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
β€”DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.support$1,000Creative for digital ad
β€”DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.support$750Creation of micro-site
β€”DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.support$50,000Digital ad buy
2022-11-08HOUSE CONSERVATIVESsupport$645P2P Texting
2022-11-05CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONsupport$78Phone/Text Messaging (from advance line 21)
2022-11-03CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONsupport$7,267Phone/Text Messaging
2022-11-03CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONsupport$100data analytics
2022-10-26CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONsupport$20TV ad costs (from advance line 21)
2022-10-24HOUSE CONSERVATIVESsupport$6,000Programmatic Mobile Ads
2022-10-24RESTORATION OF AMERICA PACsupport$5,829Direct mail
2022-10-24HOUSE CONSERVATIVESsupport$6,000Programmatic Mobile Ads
2022-10-21CLUB FOR GROWTH PACsupport$50email costs (from advance line 21)
2022-10-21CLUB FOR GROWTH PACsupport$14Mail production (from advance line 21)
2022-10-19CLUB FOR GROWTH PACsupport$1,049Mail production, postage
2022-10-19CLUB FOR GROWTH PACsupport$1,503Mail production
2022-10-17CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONsupport$132,461TV ad placement
2022-10-14CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONsupport$157TV ad production (from advance line 21)
2022-10-14CLUB FOR GROWTH PACsupport$15email costs (from advance line 21)
2022-10-14CLUB FOR GROWTH PACsupport$9Mail production (from advance line 21)
2022-10-14CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONsupport$14internet communications (from advance line 21)
2022-10-13RESTORATION OF AMERICA PACsupport$20,383Digital advertising (production and placement)
2022-10-12CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONsupport$117,539TV ad placement, production
2022-10-10CLUB FOR GROWTH PACsupport$658Mail production, postage
2022-10-10CLUB FOR GROWTH PACsupport$939Mail production
2022-10-07CLUB FOR GROWTH PACsupport$15email costs (from advance line 21)

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-12-25WINRED24K$-20
2022-12-24WINRED24K$-15
2022-12-24WINRED24K$-10
2022-12-24WINRED24K$-10
2022-12-24WINRED24K$-10
2022-12-24WINRED24K$-10
2022-12-24WINRED24K$-10
2022-12-24WINRED24K$-10
2022-12-24WINRED24K$-10
2022-12-21WINRED24K$-20
2022-12-21WINRED24K$-5
2022-12-21WINRED24K$-20
2022-12-19WINRED24K$-1
2022-12-18WINRED24K$-7
2022-12-18WINRED24K$-7
2022-12-16WINRED24K$0
2022-12-16WINRED24K$0
2022-12-16WINRED24K$-10
2022-12-16WINRED24K$-25
2022-12-16WINRED24K$0
2022-12-16WINRED24K$0
2022-12-14WINRED24K$0
2022-12-14WINRED24K$0
2022-12-14WINRED24K$0
2022-12-12WINRED24K$0

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
β€”DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.supports_independently$1,000fec_ies
β€”DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.supports_independently$50,000fec_ies
β€”DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.supports_independently$750fec_ies
2022-12-25WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-12-24WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-24WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-24WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-24WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-24WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-24WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-24WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-12-24WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-21WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-12-21WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-21WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-12-19WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-12-18WINREDcontributed_to$-7pas2
2022-12-18WINREDcontributed_to$-7pas2
2022-12-16WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-16WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-16WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-16WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-16WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-16WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-14WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-14WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-14WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-12WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-12-12WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-12WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-11WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-07WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-03WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-03WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-02WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-12-02WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-12-02WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-11-30WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-30WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-30WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-7pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-11-24WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-24WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-23WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-11-23WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-23WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-22WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-11-22WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-11-19WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-19WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-16WINREDcontributed_to$-12pas2
2022-11-15WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-11-14WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-11-14WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-14WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-11-12WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-11-12WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-11-12WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-11-12WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-11-12WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-11-12WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-11-12WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-11-12WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-11-12WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-11-12WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-11-11WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-11DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.contributed_to$2pas2
2022-11-10WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-10WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-10WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-11-08HOUSE CONSERVATIVESsupports_independently$645fec_ies
2022-11-08HOUSE CONSERVATIVEScontributed_to$644pas2
2022-11-08AMERICAN FEDERATION OF TEACHERS AFL-CIOcontributed_to$571pas2
2022-11-08WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-07WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-06WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-06WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-05WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-05WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-05CLUB FOR GROWTHsupports_independently$78fec_ies
2022-11-04WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-04WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-11-04ASSOCIATED BUILDERS AND CONTRACTORS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ABC PAC)contributed_to$2,500pas2
2022-11-03BYRON DONALDS FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$1,500pas2
2022-11-03WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-03WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-03CLUB FOR GROWTHsupports_independently$100fec_ies
2022-11-03CLUB FOR GROWTHsupports_independently$7,267fec_ies
2022-11-02REINVENTING A NEW DIRECTION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-11-02WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-11-02AMERICAN GRIT PACcontributed_to$1,500pas2

Outbound (2)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofLAUF FOR IL-11β€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofCATALINA FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEEβ€”candidate_committees

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