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MASSIE, THOMAS H.

R · house · currently seated · bioguide M001184

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FEC candidate id
H2KY04121
Internal id
bae36961-e0f2-4142-a00e-4d991300496b
Status
incumbent

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), KY-04. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation762,319
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$80,457
IncomePer-capita income$41,905
IncomeIn poverty11.1%
IncomeUnemployed4.2%
IncomeGini inequality index0.459
RaceWhite alone87.8%
RaceBlack alone3.1%
RaceAsian alone1.2%
RaceHispanic or Latino4.5%
RaceTwo or more races5.9%
OriginForeign-born3.7%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home94.7%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home2.9%
EducationHigh school or higher63.3%
EducationBachelor's or higher32.0%
EducationAdvanced degree12.3%
HouseholdFamily households67.5%
HouseholdAvg household size2.56
HouseholdNever married (15+)29.0%
HousingMedian home value$246,500
HousingMedian gross rent$1,048
HousingSingle-family detached71.4%
HousingBuilt before 19403.5%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.0%
HousingVacant units7.7%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.6%
HealthWith a disability14.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband90.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet7.2%
CommuteDrove alone76.1%
CommutePublic transit0.5%
CommuteWorked from home12.8%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$5,541,900$5,840,666$608,244$0$5,412,947
2024$1,349,142$690,223$907,010$0$1,106,685
2022$1,105,339$976,631$248,092$1,300$944,133
2020$1,464,745$1,570,704$119,384$0$1,247,756
2018$376,492$395,746$225,344$0$207,849
2016$472,750$430,426$244,598$0$306,782
2014$638,081$558,876$202,274$0$339,035
2012$1,089,631$966,562$123,069$80,000$672,420

Elections

Committees

Recent votes

Sponsored & cosponsored bills

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

FeatureΔ P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
incumbent+78.0%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2026$3,419,739$12,950,50396
2024$561,519$319,78310
2022$20,000$01

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
GUN RIGHTS AMERICAsupport$3,701Estimated Mail Voter Outreach
GUN RIGHTS AMERICAsupport$6,252Estimated Mail Voter Outreach
GUN RIGHTS AMERICAsupport$5,000Estimated Phone Voter Contact
GUN RIGHTS AMERICAsupport$1,230Estimated Texting Voter Contact
UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')oppose$152,773Media Production/Placement
GUN RIGHTS AMERICAsupport$24Estimated Online Voter Contact
UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')oppose$579,784MEDIA PRODUCTION/PLACEMENT
UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')oppose$787,768MEDIA PLACEMENT
UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')oppose$623,905Media Placement/Production
UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')oppose$167,010Media Production/Placement
UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')oppose$617,936MEDIA PLACEMENT
UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')oppose$8,640MEDIA PRODUCTION
UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')oppose$958,934MEDIA PRODUCTION/PLACEMENT
GUN RIGHTS AMERICAsupport$9Estimated Email Voter Contact
GUN RIGHTS AMERICAsupport$2,924Estimated Mail Voter Outreach
2026-05-15KENTUCKY FIRST PACsupport$50,000GOTV Messaging, Texting, Calls, Ad Creation
2026-05-14MAGA KYoppose$176,625PLACED MEDIA: TV
2026-05-14MAGA KYoppose$7,500PRODUCTION COSTS: DIGITAL AD
2026-05-14MAGA KYoppose$59,750DIGITAL ADVERTISING
2026-05-14MAGA KYoppose$60,000PLACED MEDIA: RADIO
2026-05-13MAGA KYoppose$37,538DIGITAL ADVERTISING
2026-05-12MAKE LIBERTY WINsupport$3,717Carey Acct: Phone Calls
2026-05-11MAGA KYoppose$25,000DIGITAL ADVERTISING
2026-05-11MAGA KYoppose$18,750PLACED MEDIA: RADIO
2026-05-11MAGA KYoppose$507,305PLACED MEDIA: TV

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')24A$-1,860
2026-03-30MISES PAC24K$100
2026-03-30REINVENTING A NEW DIRECTION POLITICAL ACTION CO…24K$5,000
2026-03-09MAKE LIBERTY WIN24E$337,475
2026-03-07RJC VICTORY FUND24A$303,025
2026-03-07RJC VICTORY FUND24A$53,475
2026-03-07RJC VICTORY FUND24A$6,343
2026-02-23KENTUCKY FIRST PAC24E$10,500
2026-02-17GENENTECH INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (GENE…24K$1,000
2026-02-04MAKE OPPORTUNITY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE24K$3,500
2026-02-04COVINGTON AND BURLING LLP PAC24K$4,000
2026-01-29MAGA KY24A$403,802
2026-01-29MAGA KY24A$56,471
2026-01-29MAGA KY24A$8,637
2026-01-27ADEIA INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ADEIA PAC)24K$1,000
2026-01-21FIRST CAPITAL PAC24K$3,500
2026-01-20DEFEND FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE24K$5,000
2026-01-05MAKE LIBERTY WIN24E$180,730
2025-12-31FREE MARKET FUND24K$1,500
2025-12-31FREE MARKET FUND24K$3,500
2025-12-31EL SUENO AMERICANO24K$5,000
2025-12-16NORCAL WATER JOBS LIBERTY PAC24K$5,000
2025-10-29KENTUCKY FIRST PAC24E$1,006,986
2025-10-01SAVE AMERICA STOP SOCIALISM PAC24K$3,500
2025-09-18ERIC BURLISON FOR CONGRESS24K$2,000

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee THOMAS MASSIE FOR CONGRESS.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

DonorEmployer / occupationCity, STGiftsTotal
FROEDGE, CALVINRETIRED · RETIREDSIOUX FALLS, SD2$4,000
BRUEGGEMANN, JAMES E.BAVARIAN · PRESIDENTVERONA, KY1$3,500
JONES, WILLIAMRETIRED · RETIREDINVERNESS, IL1$3,500
ROOT, TIMOTHYL&N FCU · BANKERLOUISVILLE, KY1$3,500
BARNETT, JAMESRETIRED · RETIREDLONDONDERRY, NH1$3,500
WAHL, JOHNJOHN WAHL, MD · OPHTHALMOLOGISTWILMINGTON, DE1$3,480
RANTZ, PAULARETIRED · RETIREDPALO ALTO, CA1$2,500
DONALDSON, MARKEEI, INC. · CEOROCHESTER, MN4$1,750
WYATT, JONATHANRETIRED · RETIREDGREENS FORK, IN1$1,000
STARK, ANTHONYRETIRED · RETIREDVANCOUVER, WA1$1,000
SHULTZ, KATHYSELF-EMPLOYED · CLOTHING IMPORTERSEMINOLE, FL1$1,000
ROMERO, TONYTEACHERS LEARNING CENTER · EDUCATOR - TEACHER TRAININGSEMINOLE, FL1$1,000
AWERKAMP, LOUISETHE ONYX COLLECTION · ACCOUNTINGSAINT MARYS, KS1$1,000
CURRY, CLIFCURRY LAW GROUP · ATTORNEYBRANDON, FL1$1,000
FENWICK, SAMUELTIEMANN LAND AND CATTLE · DEVELOPERAUSTIN, TX1$1,000
ROOT, MITZI F.RETIRED · RETIREDLOUISVILLE, KY1$1,000
MCCANE, JOHNNEOM · DEVELOPMENT DIRECTORMAYSVILLE, KY1$1,000
BLUME, AMANDASELF-EMPLOYED · NUTRITIONISTSAINT PETERSBURG, FL1$1,000
MIJIC, DRAGOMIRCENTER FOR BONE AND JOINT DISEASE · ORTHOPEDIC SURGEONWEEKI WACHEE, FL1$1,000
COSTABILE, GREGGRETIRED · RETIREDBAKER, FL2$1,000
FORD, GREGORYRETIRED · RETIREDNEWPORT COAST, CA1$1,000
LILLEY, GREGRETIRED · RETIREDFORT WHITE, FL1$1,000
MIJIC, KADIANHOMEMAKER · HOMEMAKERWEEKI WACHEE, FL1$1,000
JAMES, CYNTHIASELF-EMPLOYED · ENERGETIC CONSULTANTSTONE HARBOR, NJ1$555
IRWIN, CHRISTOPHERSELF-EMPLOYED · PHYSICIANDALLAS, TX1$500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2026-05-18128b94c1clip_aboutclip
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UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')contributed_to$-1,860pas2
UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')opposes_independently$8,640fec_ies
UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')opposes_independently$617,936fec_ies
UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')opposes_independently$787,768fec_ies
UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')opposes_independently$579,784fec_ies
UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')opposes_independently$958,934fec_ies
UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')opposes_independently$623,905fec_ies
GUN RIGHTS AMERICAsupports_independently$9fec_ies
GUN RIGHTS AMERICAsupports_independently$1,230fec_ies
GUN RIGHTS AMERICAsupports_independently$5,000fec_ies
GUN RIGHTS AMERICAsupports_independently$6,252fec_ies
GUN RIGHTS AMERICAsupports_independently$3,701fec_ies
UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')opposes_independently$152,773fec_ies
UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')opposes_independently$167,010fec_ies
GUN RIGHTS AMERICAsupports_independently$24fec_ies
GUN RIGHTS AMERICAsupports_independently$2,924fec_ies
2026-05-15KENTUCKY FIRST ACTIONsupports_independently$50,000fec_ies
2026-05-14MAGA KYopposes_independently$176,625fec_ies
2026-05-14MAGA KYopposes_independently$60,000fec_ies
2026-05-14MAGA KYopposes_independently$59,750fec_ies
2026-05-14MAGA KYopposes_independently$7,500fec_ies
2026-05-13MAGA KYopposes_independently$37,538fec_ies
2026-05-12MAKE LIBERTY WINsupports_independently$3,717fec_ies
2026-05-11MAGA KYopposes_independently$507,305fec_ies
2026-05-11MAGA KYopposes_independently$25,000fec_ies
2026-05-11MAGA KYopposes_independently$18,750fec_ies
2026-05-08DEFEATING COMMUNISM PACsupports_independently$22,500fec_ies
2026-05-08MAGA KYopposes_independently$669,728fec_ies
2026-05-08MAGA KYopposes_independently$59,954fec_ies
2026-05-08MAGA KYopposes_independently$19,688fec_ies
2026-05-08MAGA KYopposes_independently$10,745fec_ies

Outbound (12)

datetypetoamountrolesource
principal_candidate_ofTHOMAS MASSIE FOR CONGRESScandidate_committees
joint_fundraising_committee_ofLEE CRUZ MASSIE & SCHWEIKERT VICTORY COMMITTEEcandidate_committees
2026-04-15cosponsor_of_billHR 7 — No Taxpayer Funding for Abortion and Abortion Insurance Full Disclosure Act of 2025cosponsorsponsorship
2025-09-30cosponsor_of_billHR 4837 — Written Informed Consent Actcosponsorsponsorship
2025-02-07cosponsor_of_billHR 1137 — No Kill Switches in Cars Actcosponsorsponsorship
2025-01-03member_of_committeeHouse Transportation and Infrastructure CommitteeMEMBERcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeHouse Courts, Intellectual Property, Artificial Intelligence, and the Internet SubcommitteeMEMBERcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeHouse Constitution and Limited Government SubcommitteeMEMBERcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeHouse Water Resources and Environment SubcommitteeMEMBERcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeHouse Aviation SubcommitteeMEMBERcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeHouse Highways and Transit SubcommitteeMEMBERcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeHouse Judiciary CommitteeMEMBERcongress-committee

Clips (25)

Quotes, press releases, and Congressional Record fragments where this entity is the subject. Source: govinfo.gov BILLSTATUS + per-source ingest pipelines.

DateSourceSpeakerHeadline
GDELTwbaa.org: https://www.wbaa.org/npr-news/2026-05-18/tuesday-is-a-big-primary-day-heres-what-you-need-to-know
GDELTkfgo.com: https://kfgo.com/2026/05/18/hegseth-steps-away-from-war-duties-to-campaign-against-trump-foe/
GDELTwkjc.com: https://wkjc.com/politics/2b176d8e72916da345a3a03c398e14f4
GDELTindependent.co.uk: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/hegseth-kentucky-gallrein-thomas-massie-b2978943.html
GDELTwemu.org: https://www.wemu.org/npr-national-news/2026-05-18/tuesday-is-a-big-primary-day-heres-what-you-need-to-know
GDELTindependent.co.uk: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/hegseth-hatch-act-kentucky-thomas-massie-b2978956.html
GDELThot96.com: https://hot96.com/2026/05/18/hegseth-steps-away-from-war-duties-to-campaign-against-trump-foe/
GDELTwoonsocketcall.com: https://www.woonsocketcall.com/news/national_and_world_news/the-latest-trump-calls-off-iran-strike-planned-for-tuesday-to-allow-for-serious-negotiations/article_2f52f831-0d59-502b-bddc-a83c0bb4166c.html
GDELTindependent.co.uk: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/primary-georgia-pennsylvania-thomas-massie-trump-b2978726.html
GDELTkunc.org: https://www.kunc.org/npr-news/2026-05-18/tuesday-is-a-big-primary-day-heres-what-you-need-to-know
GDELThitsfm.net: https://hitsfm.net/politics/2b176d8e72916da345a3a03c398e14f4
GDELTdailykos.com: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/5/18/800040909/community/a-silver-lining-to-massies-predicted-defeat/
GDELTyahoo.com: https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/pete-hegseth-boosts-trump-backed-181905578.html
GDELTnbcnews.com: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/rcna345257
GDELTnorthcountrypublicradio.org: https://www.northcountrypublicradio.org/news/npr/g-s1-122235/tuesday-is-a-big-primary-day-here-s-what-you-need-to-know
GDELTabcnews.com: https://abcnews.com/Politics/unprecedented-move-secretary-hegseth-hits-campaign-trail-amid/story?id=133081033
GDELTindependentsentinel.com: https://www.independentsentinel.com/thomas-massie-plays-the-banjo-vote-massie/
GDELTwvxu.org: https://www.wvxu.org/2026-05-18/here-are-the-state-and-federal-primary-races-to-watch-in-kentucky
GDELTdelawarepublic.org: https://www.delawarepublic.org/npr-headlines/2026-05-18/tuesday-is-a-big-primary-day-heres-what-you-need-to-know
GDELTcommondreams.org: https://www.commondreams.org/tag/thomas-massie
GDELTwvasfm.org: https://www.wvasfm.org/politics/2026-05-18/tuesday-is-a-big-primary-day-heres-what-you-need-to-know
GDELTfreerepublic.com: https://freerepublic.com/tag/*/index?more=4379866
GDELTthedailybeast.com: https://www.thedailybeast.com/pentagon-pete-abandons-duty-to-make-cringe-trump-impression/
GDELTwadk.com: https://wadk.com/politics-news/dcd69802b2eb1ce50a5bc07a539dc51f
GDELTmymixfm.com: https://mymixfm.com/2026/05/18/hegseth-steps-away-from-war-duties-to-campaign-against-trump-foe/

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