LEHMAN, MATTHEW
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2KY04212- Internal id
92e46894-6f6c-43bb-817a-200d442305e6- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), KY-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 762,319 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $80,457 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,905 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.459 |
| Race | White alone | 87.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 32.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.3% |
| Household | Family households | 67.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.56 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $246,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,048 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 71.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $2,807 | $8,827 | $0 | $0 | $230 |
| 2022 | $304,094 | $298,074 | $6,020 | $0 | $243,318 |
Elections
Committees
- CITIZENS FOR MATTHEW LEHMAN β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $2,047 | $0 | 22 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-06 | NEW POWER PAC | support | $60 | facebook ads |
| 2022-11-06 | NEW POWER PAC | support | $57 | facebook ads |
| 2022-11-05 | NEW POWER PAC | support | $59 | facebook ads |
| 2022-11-05 | NEW POWER PAC | support | $58 | facebook ads |
| 2022-11-04 | NEW POWER PAC | support | $53 | facebook ads |
| 2022-11-03 | NEW POWER PAC | support | $53 | facebook ads |
| 2022-11-03 | NEW POWER PAC | support | $57 | facebook ads |
| 2022-11-02 | NEW POWER PAC | support | $54 | facebook ads |
| 2022-11-02 | NEW POWER PAC | support | $48 | facebook ads |
| 2022-11-01 | NEW POWER PAC | support | $53 | facebook ads |
| 2022-11-01 | NEW POWER PAC | support | $62 | facebook ads |
| 2022-10-31 | NEW POWER PAC | support | $63 | facebook ads |
| 2022-10-30 | NEW POWER PAC | support | $61 | facebook ads |
| 2022-10-30 | NEW POWER PAC | support | $60 | facebook ads |
| 2022-10-29 | NEW POWER PAC | support | $57 | facebook ads |
| 2022-10-29 | NEW POWER PAC | support | $18 | facebook ads |
| 2022-10-28 | NEW POWER PAC | support | $61 | facebook ads |
| 2022-10-28 | NEW POWER PAC | support | $53 | facebook ads |
| 2022-10-27 | NEW POWER PAC | support | $50 | facebook ads |
| 2022-10-26 | NEW POWER PAC | support | $44 | facebook ads |
| 2022-10-26 | NEW POWER PAC | support | $746 | postcards |
| 2022-10-17 | NEW POWER PAC | support | $220 | door hangers |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-09 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $11 |
| 2022-11-09 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $38 |
| 2022-11-08 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $59 |
| 2022-11-07 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $59 |
| 2022-11-06 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $59 |
| 2022-11-06 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $56 |
| 2022-11-05 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $57 |
| 2022-11-05 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $59 |
| 2022-11-04 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $52 |
| 2022-11-03 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $52 |
| 2022-11-03 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $56 |
| 2022-11-02 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $54 |
| 2022-11-02 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $48 |
| 2022-11-01 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $52 |
| 2022-11-01 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $61 |
| 2022-10-31 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $63 |
| 2022-10-30 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $61 |
| 2022-10-30 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $59 |
| 2022-10-29 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $17 |
| 2022-10-29 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $57 |
| 2022-10-28 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $53 |
| 2022-10-28 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $61 |
| 2022-10-27 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $50 |
| 2022-10-26 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $44 |
| 2022-10-26 | NEW POWER PAC | 24E | $745 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (68)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-09 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $11 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-09 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $38 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-08 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $59 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-07 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $59 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-06 | NEW POWER PAC | supports_independently | $57 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-06 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $56 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-06 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $59 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-06 | NEW POWER PAC | supports_independently | $60 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-05 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $57 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-05 | NEW POWER PAC | supports_independently | $58 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-05 | NEW POWER PAC | supports_independently | $59 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-05 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $59 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-04 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $52 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-04 | NEW POWER PAC | supports_independently | $53 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-03 | NEW POWER PAC | supports_independently | $53 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-03 | NEW POWER PAC | supports_independently | $57 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-03 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $56 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-03 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $52 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-02 | NEW POWER PAC | supports_independently | $54 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-02 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $48 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-02 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $54 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-02 | NEW POWER PAC | supports_independently | $48 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-01 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $61 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-01 | NEW POWER PAC | supports_independently | $53 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-01 | NEW POWER PAC | supports_independently | $62 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-01 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $52 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $63 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | NEW POWER PAC | supports_independently | $63 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-30 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $59 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-30 | NEW POWER PAC | supports_independently | $61 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-30 | NEW POWER PAC | supports_independently | $60 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-30 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $61 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-29 | NEW POWER PAC | supports_independently | $18 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-29 | NEW POWER PAC | supports_independently | $57 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-29 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $57 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-29 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $17 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-28 | NEW POWER PAC | supports_independently | $53 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-28 | NEW POWER PAC | supports_independently | $61 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-28 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $61 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-28 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $53 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-27 | NEW POWER PAC | supports_independently | $50 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-27 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-26 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $745 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-26 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $44 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-26 | NEW POWER PAC | supports_independently | $746 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-26 | NEW POWER PAC | supports_independently | $44 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-24 | UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION PROGRAM) 'INT'L UNION UNITED AUTOMOBILE AEROSPACE & AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AMERICA UAW | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-17 | NEW POWER PAC | supports_independently | $220 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-17 | NEW POWER PAC | contributed_to | $220 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-07 | AFL-CIO | contributed_to | $17 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-07 | AFL-CIO | contributed_to | $44 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-05 | AFL-CIO | contributed_to | $13 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-04 | AFL-CIO | contributed_to | $8 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-04 | AFL-CIO | contributed_to | $8 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-23 | ARTICLE 1 POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-30 | UA UNION PLUMBERS & PIPEFITTERS VOTE! PAC (UNITED ASSOCIATION OF JOURNEYMEN AND APPRENTICES OF THE PLUMBING & PIPEFITTING INDUSTRY OF THE UNITED STATES AND CANADA) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-26 | SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-18 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,300 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-18 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-200 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-16 | OPERATIVE PLASTERERS' AND CEMENT MASONS' INTL ASSOCIATION ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-11 | UNITED FOOD AND COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL UNION ACTIVE BALLOT CLUB | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-02 | COMMUNICATIONS WORKERS OF AMERICA - COPE POLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $750 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-28 | NATIONAL ELEVATOR CONSTRUCTORS PAC/ INTN'L UNION OF ELEVATOR CONSTRUCTORS (NEC PAC) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-14 | D.R.I.V.E. - DEM, REP, IND VOTER ED (THE PAC OF THE INT'L BRHD OF TEAMSTERS) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-12 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-12 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $200 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-19 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF BOILERMAKERS CAMPAIGN ASSISTANCE FUND | contributed_to | $3,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-04 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $4,800 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CITIZENS FOR MATTHEW LEHMAN | β | candidate_committees |