AMBROSE, NICOLEE

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2MD02368
Internal id: 6c9450e0-f6e0-4d55-a071-c9a733c96f36
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MD-02. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	771,118
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$99,849
Income	Per-capita income	$52,459
Income	In poverty	8.2%
Income	Unemployed	4.5%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.451
Race	White alone	60.1%
Race	Black alone	24.8%
Race	Asian alone	5.7%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	6.4%
Race	Two or more races	6.4%
Origin	Foreign-born	11.9%
Language	Speaks English only at home	86.0%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	3.9%
Education	High school or higher	68.4%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	46.2%
Education	Advanced degree	21.0%
Household	Family households	64.1%
Household	Avg household size	2.48
Household	Never married (15+)	34.8%
Housing	Median home value	$381,600
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,641
Housing	Single-family detached	50.5%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.7%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.8%
Housing	Vacant units	5.0%
Service	Veterans (18+)	5.9%
Health	With a disability	11.9%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.7%
Commute	Drove alone	69.3%
Commute	Public transit	1.9%
Commute	Worked from home	18.1%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$845	$1,535	$0	$0	$300
2022	$500,313	$500,122	$690	$0	$439,163

Elections

2022 general house · MD-2 — lost_general

Committees

NICOLEE AMBROSE FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-11-08	KEEP FLORIDA RED	24K	$-1,000
2022-11-04	REPUBLICAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE	24K	$5,000
2022-11-03	RESTORING OUR NATION PAC	24K	$2,000
2022-10-31	NH LEADERSHIP PAC	24K	$400
2022-10-31	ASSOCIATED BUILDERS AND CONTRACTORS, INC. POLIT…	24K	$1,000
2022-10-28	CHESAPEAKE FREEDOM PAC	24K	$5,000
2022-10-27	RIGHTNOW WOMEN PAC	24K	$1,500
2022-10-27	BETTER PATH FORWARD PAC, INC.	24K	$2,900
2022-10-27	KEEPING REPUBLICAN IDEAS STRONG TIMELY & INVENT…	24K	$1,000
2022-10-24	PROVEN CONSERVATIVES PAC	24K	$2,000
2022-09-30	1890 PAC	24K	$500
2022-09-30	KEVIN MCCARTHY FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2022-09-30	REPUBLICAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE	24C	$78
2022-09-30	REPUBLICAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE	24C	$18
2022-09-30	REPUBLICAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE	24C	$240
2022-09-29	TEXAS RED	24K	$1,500
2022-09-26	CITIZENS UNITED POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	24K	$2,500
2022-09-26	WINRED	24K	$-1,000
2022-09-15	CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT…	24K	$5,000
2022-09-15	REPUBLICAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE	24C	$64
2022-09-15	REPUBLICAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE	24C	$14
2022-09-15	REPUBLICAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE	24C	$197
2022-09-14	VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT…	24K	$5,000
2022-09-07	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-09-07	WINRED	24K	$-100

Connected on the graph

Inbound (50)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-11-08	KEEP FLORIDA RED	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-11-04	REPUBLICAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-11-03	RESTORING OUR NATION PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-31	NH LEADERSHIP PAC	contributed_to	$400	pas2
2022-10-31	ASSOCIATED BUILDERS AND CONTRACTORS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ABC PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-28	CHESAPEAKE FREEDOM PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-27	KEEPING REPUBLICAN IDEAS STRONG TIMELY & INVENTIVE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-27	RIGHTNOW WOMEN PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-10-27	BETTER PATH FORWARD PAC, INC.	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-10-24	PROVEN CONSERVATIVES PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-30	1890 PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-09-30	REPUBLICAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$240	pas2
2022-09-30	REPUBLICAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$78	pas2
2022-09-30	REPUBLICAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$18	pas2
2022-09-30	KEVIN MCCARTHY FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-29	TEXAS RED	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-09-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-09-26	CITIZENS UNITED POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-15	REPUBLICAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$197	pas2
2022-09-15	REPUBLICAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$14	pas2
2022-09-15	REPUBLICAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$64	pas2
2022-09-15	CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-14	VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-09-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-09-05	COMMON SENSE COMMON SOLUTIONS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-02	WINRED	contributed_to	$-75	pas2
2022-09-02	WINRED	contributed_to	$-75	pas2
2022-09-02	WINRED	contributed_to	$-75	pas2
2022-09-02	WINRED	contributed_to	$-75	pas2
2022-08-17	CITIZENS UNITED POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-08-12	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-08-12	WINRED	contributed_to	$-500	pas2
2022-08-06	RON ESTES FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-08-05	BOOTS ON THE GROUND - FEDERAL	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-02	KEEP FLORIDA RED	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-01	MAJORITY COMMITTEE PAC--MC PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-07-20	VICTORY AND FREEDOM PAC (VAF PAC)	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-07-13	BE VICTORIOUS OVER DEMOCRATS PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-07-11	VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-06-30	CAROL FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-28	CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-06-28	AMERICANS FOR LEGISLATING EXCELLENCE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-27	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-06-17	1890 PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-06-13	RON ESTES FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-04-25	ANDY HARRIS FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-04-25	ANDY HARRIS FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-04-25	CITIZENS UNITED POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-04-22	MAGGIE'S LIST	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	NICOLEE AMBROSE FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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