ROCA, MARIELA
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2MD08183- Internal id
66176adb-ff2e-47f6-b9d7-8d0c725a3aa0- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MD-06. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 796,669 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $102,585 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $49,271 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.434 |
| Race | White alone | 60.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 12.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 9.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 14.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 18.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 76.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 11.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 66.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 40.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 18.6% |
| Household | Family households | 68.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.63 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $405,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,644 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 55.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 66.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 19.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $22,848 | $1,465 | $21,383 | $35,754 | $21,087 |
| 2024 | $289,671 | $289,697 | $0 | $35,754 | $232,968 |
| 2022 | $93,704 | $93,678 | $26 | $5,219 | $85,308 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· MD-6 β lost_general
- 2024 general house Β· MD-6 β lost_general
- 2026 general house Β· MD-6 β running
Committees
- ROCA FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | ANDY HARRIS FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-07-16 | WINRED | 24K | $-1,000 |
| 2022-07-12 | WINRED | 24K | $-1,000 |
| 2021-11-10 | ANDY HARRIS FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (4)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | ANDY HARRIS FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-11-10 | ANDY HARRIS FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ROCA FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |