RAYE, KEVIN L.
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2ME02071- Internal id
636766a2-ac03-404a-8488-edd5d701060e- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), ME-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 692,100 |
| People | Median age | 45 |
| Income | Median household income | $64,428 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,355 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.450 |
| Race | White alone | 91.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 1.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 4.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 0.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 28.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.3% |
| Household | Family households | 60.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.24 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $218,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $959 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 71.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 23.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 18.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | $386,707 | $382,130 | $4,866 | $0 | $339,920 |
| 2012 | $682,563 | $682,273 | $290 | $0 | $553,953 |
| 2004 | $11,622 | $12,634 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2002 | $1,130,811 | $1,128,824 | $1,013 | $3,000 | $548,954 |
Elections
- 2002 general house Β· ME-2 β lost_general
- 2012 general house Β· ME-2 β lost_general
- 2014 general house Β· ME-2 β lost_general
Committees
- RAYE FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- RAYE FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- YOUNG GUNS 2012 ROUND 3 β joint_fundraising Β· type N
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | YOUNG GUNS 2012 ROUND 3 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | RAYE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | RAYE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |