KILDEE, DANIEL T

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2MI05119
Internal id: ac1148c9-d6f5-4755-84c0-bdff98b00fb7
Status: incumbent

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-08. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	770,294
People	Median age	41
Income	Median household income	$63,195
Income	Per-capita income	$36,073
Income	In poverty	15.8%
Income	Unemployed	6.8%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.461
Race	White alone	76.0%
Race	Black alone	14.9%
Race	Asian alone	1.1%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	5.6%
Race	Two or more races	6.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	2.6%
Language	Speaks English only at home	96.1%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	1.6%
Education	High school or higher	56.5%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	24.9%
Education	Advanced degree	8.8%
Household	Family households	62.1%
Household	Avg household size	2.35
Household	Never married (15+)	34.1%
Housing	Median home value	$170,100
Housing	Median gross rent	$966
Housing	Single-family detached	74.8%
Housing	Built before 1940	6.4%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.2%
Housing	Vacant units	8.5%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.7%
Health	With a disability	17.3%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	89.3%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	7.8%
Commute	Drove alone	78.6%
Commute	Public transit	0.7%
Commute	Worked from home	10.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$1,465,198	$1,068,587	$418,485	$0	$465,692
2022	$5,627,721	$6,387,569	$21,874	$37,554	$2,901,075
2020	$1,677,147	$1,511,290	$781,722	$0	$505,348
2018	$1,158,022	$1,043,802	$615,865	$0	$371,091
2016	$1,090,756	$706,565	$501,645	$0	$455,194
2014	$913,951	$938,757	$117,453	$0	$301,712
2012	$721,598	$579,339	$142,259	$0	$369,631

Elections

2012 general house · MI-8 — running
2012 general house · MI-5 — won
2014 general house · MI-8 — running
2014 general house · MI-5 — running
2016 general house · MI-5 — running
2016 general house · MI-8 — running
2018 general house · MI-8 — running
2018 general house · MI-5 — running
2020 general house · MI-8 — running
2020 general house · MI-5 — running
2022 general house · MI-8 — running
2024 general house · MI-8 — lost_general

Committees

DEMOCRACY FOR ALL NOW PAC — principal · type W
DEMOCRACY FOR ALL NOW PAC — independent · type W

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
incumbent	+78.0%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$2,599,353	$1,719,131	85

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL …	support	$1,800	Administrative consulting
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL …	support	$18,000	Online digital ad buy
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL …	support	$120	Administrative consulting
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL …	support	$1,800	Administrative consulting
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL …	support	$3,000	Administrative consulting
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL …	support	$238,110	Direct mail costs
—	CLIMATE POWER ACTION	support	$5,060	Ad Production (Estimate)
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL …	support	$18,000	Public Opinion Poll
—	NRDC ACTION VOTES	support	$222,457	Ad Buy (Estimate)
—	CLIMATE POWER ACTION	support	$9,966	Mail Production + Postage (Estimate)
—	NRDC ACTION VOTES	support	$37,543	Ad Production (Estimate)
—	CLIMATE POWER ACTION	support	$54	Ad Buy (Estimate)
—	CLIMATE POWER ACTION	support	$23,334	Ad Buy (Estimate)
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL …	support	$681,000	Online digital ad buy & production costs
—	COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS	support	$206	Catering
—	CLIMATE POWER ACTION	support	$8,419	Mail Production + Postage (Estimate)
—	CLIMATE POWER ACTION	support	$1,619	Ad Production (Estimate)
—	BLACKPAC	support	$150,000	Canvassing - Estimate
—	CLIMATE POWER ACTION	support	$9,450	Mail Production + Postage (Estimate)
—	CLIMATE POWER ACTION	support	$9,450	Mail Production + Postage (Estimate)
—	CONGRESSIONAL BLACK CAUCUS PAC	support	$100,000	Digital Ad
—	CONGRESSIONAL BLACK CAUCUS PAC	support	$18,940	Radio Ad
—	CLIMATE POWER ACTION	support	$8,841	Mail Production and Postage (Estimate)
—	HMP	support	$24,658	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL …	support	$18,000	Public Opinion Poll

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL …	24E	$238,110
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI…	24E	$7,200
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL …	24E	$3,000
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL …	24E	$1,800
—	NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE	24E	$1,331
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI…	24E	$16,762
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	24E	$6,617
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL …	24E	$120
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL …	24E	$18,000
—	GIVEGREEN UNITED ACTION	24E	$32
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL …	24E	$18,000
—	HMP	24E	$24,658
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI…	24E	$1,800
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI…	24E	$19,760
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL …	24E	$681,000
2022-12-31	AMERICAN SOCIETY OF PLASTIC SURGEONS PLASTYPAC	24K	$-3,000
2022-12-29	CENTENE CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE …	24K	$1,500
2022-12-23	GOOGLE LLC NETPAC	24K	$4,000
2022-12-20	WINE AND SPIRITS WHOLESALERS OF AMERICA, INC. P…	24K	$2,500
2022-12-14	PFIZER INC. PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-12-05	UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP EMPLOYEE ACTION FUND	24K	$1,000
2022-12-01	GALLEGO FOR ARIZONA	24Z	$226
2022-12-01	GALLEGO FOR ARIZONA	24Z	$652
2022-12-01	GALLEGO FOR ARIZONA	24Z	$527
2022-12-01	GALLEGO FOR ARIZONA	24Z	$527

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL FUND	contributed_to	$18,000	pas2
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL FUND	contributed_to	$120	pas2
—	GIVEGREEN UNITED ACTION	contributed_to	$32	pas2
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL FUND	contributed_to	$238,110	pas2
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL FUND	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
—	NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,331	pas2
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,800	pas2
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$7,200	pas2
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$19,760	pas2
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$16,762	pas2
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL FUND	contributed_to	$1,800	pas2
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL FUND	contributed_to	$18,000	pas2
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL FUND	contributed_to	$681,000	pas2
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$6,617	pas2
—	HMP	contributed_to	$24,658	pas2
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL FUND	supports_independently	$1,800	fec_ies
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL FUND	supports_independently	$238,110	fec_ies
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL FUND	supports_independently	$3,000	fec_ies
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL FUND	supports_independently	$1,800	fec_ies
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL FUND	supports_independently	$18,000	fec_ies
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$16,763	fec_ies
—	NRDC ACTION VOTES	supports_independently	$37,543	fec_ies
—	NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$1,332	fec_ies
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$1,800	fec_ies
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL FUND	supports_independently	$18,000	fec_ies
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$19,760	fec_ies
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL FUND	supports_independently	$681,000	fec_ies
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL FUND	supports_independently	$18,000	fec_ies
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$7,200	fec_ies
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL FUND	supports_independently	$120	fec_ies
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL FUND	supports_independently	$681,000	fec_ies
—	NRDC ACTION VOTES	supports_independently	$222,457	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$24,658	fec_ies
—	CLIMATE POWER ACTION	supports_independently	$23,334	fec_ies
—	CONGRESSIONAL BLACK CAUCUS PAC	supports_independently	$100,000	fec_ies
—	CLIMATE POWER ACTION	supports_independently	$8,841	fec_ies
—	CLIMATE POWER ACTION	supports_independently	$9,966	fec_ies
—	CLIMATE POWER ACTION	supports_independently	$9,450	fec_ies
—	CLIMATE POWER ACTION	supports_independently	$1,619	fec_ies
—	CLIMATE POWER ACTION	supports_independently	$8,419	fec_ies
—	CONGRESSIONAL BLACK CAUCUS PAC	supports_independently	$18,940	fec_ies
—	COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS	supports_independently	$206	fec_ies
—	CLIMATE POWER ACTION	supports_independently	$54	fec_ies
—	CLIMATE POWER ACTION	supports_independently	$9,450	fec_ies
—	CLIMATE POWER ACTION	supports_independently	$5,060	fec_ies
—	BLACKPAC	supports_independently	$150,000	fec_ies
2022-12-31	AMERICAN SOCIETY OF PLASTIC SURGEONS PLASTYPAC	contributed_to	$-3,000	pas2
2022-12-29	CENTENE CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (CENTENE PAC)	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-12-23	GOOGLE LLC NETPAC	contributed_to	$4,000	pas2
2022-12-20	WINE AND SPIRITS WHOLESALERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-12-14	PFIZER INC. PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-12-05	UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP EMPLOYEE ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-12-01	GALLEGO FOR ARIZONA	contributed_to	$527	pas2
2022-12-01	GALLEGO FOR ARIZONA	contributed_to	$527	pas2
2022-12-01	GALLEGO FOR ARIZONA	contributed_to	$226	pas2
2022-12-01	GALLEGO FOR ARIZONA	contributed_to	$652	pas2
2022-11-28	ENVIRONMENT AMERICA ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$3	pas2
2022-11-28	ENVIRONMENT AMERICA ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$39	pas2
2022-11-23	CLARK HILL FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE, THE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-11-21	NORMA TORRES FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$281	pas2
2022-11-14	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2022-11-14	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$5	pas2
2022-11-13	COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS	contributed_to	$17	pas2
2022-11-13	COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS	contributed_to	$17	pas2
2022-11-10	REVIVING AMERICAN JOBS AGAIN PAC	contributed_to	$1,501	pas2
2022-11-10	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS	contributed_to	$6,864	pas2
2022-11-09	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$5	pas2
2022-11-09	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2022-11-09	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$20	pas2
2022-11-09	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2022-11-09	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$20	pas2
2022-11-09	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$20	pas2
2022-11-09	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$200	pas2
2022-11-09	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2022-11-08	INT'L UNION OF BRICKLAYERS AND ALLIED CRAFTWORKERS	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-11-08	MICHIGAN STATE AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$2,622	pas2
2022-11-08	MICHIGAN STATE AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$2,622	pas2
2022-11-08	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$2,961	pas2
2022-11-08	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF TEACHERS AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$6	pas2
2022-11-07	SIERRA CLUB POLITICAL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-11-07	MICHIGAN ACTION USA	contributed_to	$6,594	pas2
2022-11-07	KING & SPALDING NONPARTISAN COMMITTEE FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-07	DEMOCRATS RESHAPING AMERICA (DREAMPAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-07	GRAND TRUNK WESTERN RAILROAD CO- ILLINOIS CENTRAL RAILROAD CO GTW-IC PAC (CN PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-07	COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS	contributed_to	$5	pas2
2022-11-07	COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS	contributed_to	$56	pas2
2022-11-07	COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS	contributed_to	$205	pas2
2022-11-07	COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS	contributed_to	$205	pas2
2022-11-07	GIVING WILLINGLY EMPOWERING NATIONALLY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-07	MICHIGAN ACTION USA	supports_independently	$6,595	fec_ies
2022-11-07	MICHIGAN ACTION USA	supports_independently	$6,595	fec_ies
2022-11-07	COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS	contributed_to	$5	pas2
2022-11-05	COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS	contributed_to	$16	pas2
2022-11-05	FRIENDS OF JIM CLYBURN	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-11-05	GIVEGREEN UNITED ACTION	contributed_to	$1	pas2
2022-11-04	WIN THE HOUSE NOW PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-04	CLEAVER FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-04	INTERNATIONAL COUNCIL OF SHOPPING CENTERS INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ICSC PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-03	HMS SCRAP PAC	contributed_to	$900	pas2
2022-11-03	FRIENDS OF CMU	contributed_to	$250	pas2

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	independent_committee_of	DEMOCRACY FOR ALL NOW PAC	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	DEMOCRACY FOR ALL NOW PAC	—		candidate_committees

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