CARRA, STEPHEN
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2MI06117- Internal id
6fb35070-d5d6-45c9-82bf-80f9c105a0e4- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 778,930 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $74,722 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,538 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.455 |
| Race | White alone | 77.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 8.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 9.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 91.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.3% |
| Household | Family households | 64.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.48 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $248,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,075 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $7,204 | $0 | $155,229 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $4,096 | $1,248 | $148,025 | $0 | $25 |
| 2022 | $423,036 | $277,859 | $145,177 | $0 | $389,425 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· MI-4 β lost_general
Committees
- STEVE CARRA FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $0 | $9,624 | 4 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | PRIORITIES USA ACTION | oppose | $759 | Ad Production (Estimate) |
| β | PRIORITIES USA ACTION | oppose | $820 | Ad Production (Estimate) |
| β | PRIORITIES USA ACTION | oppose | $7,143 | Ad Buy (Estimate) |
| β | PRIORITIES USA ACTION | oppose | $902 | Ad Production (Estimate) |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-07 | COMMITTEE TO ELECT MORGUN SHOLTY | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-01-07 | PRIORITIES USA ACTION | 24A | $820 |
| 2022-01-07 | PRIORITIES USA ACTION | 24A | $901 |
| 2022-01-07 | PRIORITIES USA ACTION | 24A | $759 |
| 2022-01-07 | PRIORITIES USA ACTION | 24A | $7,142 |
| 2021-12-31 | NATHAN DAHM FOR US SENATE | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2021-12-16 | SAVE AMERICA | 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (11)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | PRIORITIES USA ACTION | opposes_independently | $902 | fec_ies | |
| β | PRIORITIES USA ACTION | opposes_independently | $759 | fec_ies | |
| β | PRIORITIES USA ACTION | opposes_independently | $820 | fec_ies | |
| β | PRIORITIES USA ACTION | opposes_independently | $7,143 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-07 | COMMITTEE TO ELECT MORGUN SHOLTY | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-07 | PRIORITIES USA ACTION | contributed_to | $820 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-07 | PRIORITIES USA ACTION | contributed_to | $901 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-07 | PRIORITIES USA ACTION | contributed_to | $759 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-07 | PRIORITIES USA ACTION | contributed_to | $7,142 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-31 | NATHAN DAHM FOR US SENATE | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-16 | SAVE AMERICA PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | STEVE CARRA FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |