KOCINA, KEVIN
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2MN01199- Internal id
15b5a170-5ad1-40d0-bf8a-8978b78c59f8- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MN-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 715,713 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $79,637 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $42,768 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.447 |
| Race | White alone | 83.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 90.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 32.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.4% |
| Household | Family households | 62.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.39 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $251,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,032 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 72.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $28,476 | $28,476 | $0 | $0 | $18,476 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· MN-1 β lost_general
Committees
- KOCINA FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-11 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-04-26 | UA UNION PLUMBERS & PIPEFITTERS VOTE! PAC (UNIT⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-03-16 | SAINT PAUL PIPEFITTERS/STEAMFITTERS LOCAL 455 P⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (3)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-11 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-26 | UA UNION PLUMBERS & PIPEFITTERS VOTE! PAC (UNITED ASSOCIATION OF JOURNEYMEN AND APPRENTICES OF THE PLUMBING & PIPEFITTING INDUSTRY OF THE UNITED STATES AND CANADA) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-16 | SAINT PAUL PIPEFITTERS/STEAMFITTERS LOCAL 455 POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | KOCINA FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |