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FEC candidate id
H2MN05166
Internal id
678dd44d-bb57-43d0-a1a8-5a18ddd4c8fb
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MN-05. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation707,022
PeopleMedian age35
IncomeMedian household income$83,858
IncomePer-capita income$52,019
IncomeIn poverty13.5%
IncomeUnemployed5.5%
IncomeGini inequality index0.480
RaceWhite alone61.4%
RaceBlack alone17.4%
RaceAsian alone5.4%
RaceHispanic or Latino10.6%
RaceTwo or more races9.9%
OriginForeign-born14.0%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home79.9%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home7.7%
EducationHigh school or higher67.7%
EducationBachelor's or higher51.1%
EducationAdvanced degree19.3%
HouseholdFamily households47.0%
HouseholdAvg household size2.20
HouseholdNever married (15+)47.0%
HousingMedian home value$348,600
HousingMedian gross rent$1,398
HousingSingle-family detached46.7%
HousingBuilt before 19407.1%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)3.4%
HousingVacant units6.6%
ServiceVeterans (18+)4.0%
HealthWith a disability11.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet4.9%
CommuteDrove alone57.1%
CommutePublic transit5.0%
CommuteWorked from home24.3%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2024$25,090$72,399$0$0$232
2022$3,226,698$3,194,320$32,378$0$3,203,570

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-12-30WINRED24K$-10
2022-12-30WINRED24K$-25
2022-12-27WINRED24K$-20
2022-12-25WINRED24K$-20
2022-12-24WINRED24K$-20
2022-12-22WINRED24K$-50
2022-12-22WINRED24K$-4
2022-12-22WINRED24K$-50
2022-12-22WINRED24K$-50
2022-12-22WINRED24K$-100
2022-12-22WINRED24K$-100
2022-12-22WINRED24K$-50
2022-12-22WINRED24K$-50
2022-12-21WINRED24K$-50
2022-12-21WINRED24K$-15
2022-12-20WINRED24K$-5
2022-12-20WINRED24K$-5
2022-12-20WINRED24K$-5
2022-12-15WINRED24K$-3
2022-12-15WINRED24K$-5
2022-12-15WINRED24K$-25
2022-12-15WINRED24K$-5
2022-12-15WINRED24K$-5
2022-12-15WINRED24K$-20
2022-12-15WINRED24K$-15

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-12-30WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-30WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-27WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-12-25WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-12-24WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-12-22WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-12-22WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-12-22WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-12-22WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-12-22WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-12-22WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-12-22WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-12-22WINREDcontributed_to$-4pas2
2022-12-21WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-12-21WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-12-20WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-20WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-20WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-15WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-15WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-15WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-12-15WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-12-15WINREDcontributed_to$-3pas2
2022-12-15WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-15WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-13WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-12-11WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-12-10WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-09WINREDcontributed_to$-9pas2
2022-12-09WINREDcontributed_to$-9pas2
2022-12-09WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-09WINREDcontributed_to$-9pas2
2022-12-09WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-4pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-12-07WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-12-07WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-12-07WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-07WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-07WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-30pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-05WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-12-05WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-12-04WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-12-04WINREDcontributed_to$-500pas2
2022-12-03WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-12-03WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-12-02WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-02WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-01WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-30WINREDcontributed_to$-250pas2
2022-11-30WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-29WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-11-29WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-500pas2
2022-11-27WINREDcontributed_to$-30pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-3pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-30pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-25WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-24WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-24WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-24WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-24WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-11-24WINREDcontributed_to$-3pas2
2022-11-24WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
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