SMITH, WESLEY GILMAN
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H2MO02177- Internal id
44fbb972-f623-40f9-b643-199f60a46dd3- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MO-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 771,008 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $102,169 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $56,713 |
| Income | In poverty | 5.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.462 |
| Race | White alone | 83.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 3.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 90.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 69.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 50.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 20.5% |
| Household | Family households | 67.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.45 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $341,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,224 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 74.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 18.1% |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· MO-2 β lost_general
Committees
- WESLEY SMITH FOR CONGRESS β independent Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | WESLEY SMITH FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |