SAMUELS, E. BENJAMIN
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2MO02193- Internal id
8f2f060f-4713-45a3-933a-d1675d88b139- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MO-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 771,008 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $102,169 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $56,713 |
| Income | In poverty | 5.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.462 |
| Race | White alone | 83.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 3.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 90.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 69.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 50.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 20.5% |
| Household | Family households | 67.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.45 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $341,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,224 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 74.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 18.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $36,046 | $13,266 | $436,916 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $32,777 | $39,321 | $414,136 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $1,142,394 | $721,714 | $420,680 | $0 | $1,130,380 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· MO-2 β lost_general
Committees
- BEN SAMUELS FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-31 | BEEPAC (BUILDING ECONOMIC EMPOWERMENT PAC) | 24K | $500 |
| 2022-03-29 | SCHNEIDER FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-02-08 | NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND | 24K | $500 |
| 2022-01-26 | NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2021-12-29 | WELCOMEPAC | 24K | $1,900 |
| 2021-12-06 | WELCOMEPAC | 24K | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (6)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-31 | BEEPAC (BUILDING ECONOMIC EMPOWERMENT PAC) | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-29 | SCHNEIDER FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-08 | NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-26 | NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-29 | WELCOMEPAC | contributed_to | $1,900 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-06 | WELCOMEPAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BEN SAMUELS FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |