MURPHY, BRAD ALLEN
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2NC02295- Internal id
ae434135-d45c-440b-9635-2b47a493fde7- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 747,584 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $56,285 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $31,830 |
| Income | In poverty | 17.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.465 |
| Race | White alone | 48.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 39.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 91.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 53.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 20.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 6.7% |
| Household | Family households | 64.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.38 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $167,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $907 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 15.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 17.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 84.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 13.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 79.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 7.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $195,133 | $195,133 | $0 | $0 | $28,630 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· NC-1 β lost_general
Committees
- MURPHY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-12 | AMERICAN ACADEMY OF EMERGENCY MEDICINE POLITICA⦠| 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-04-29 | PRECISION MACHINED PRODUCTS ASSOCIATION POLITIC⦠| 24K | $1,000 |
| 2021-12-13 | WAKE EMERGENCY PHYSICIANS, PA PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2021-12-06 | PIEDMONT TRIAD ANESTHESIA P A FEDERAL PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (4)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-12 | AMERICAN ACADEMY OF EMERGENCY MEDICINE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE AAEM PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-29 | PRECISION MACHINED PRODUCTS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-13 | WAKE EMERGENCY PHYSICIANS, PA PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-06 | PIEDMONT TRIAD ANESTHESIA P A FEDERAL PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MURPHY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |