CLAYBURGH, RICK
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2ND00081- Internal id
2fe324b3-8dd9-47d2-91f8-7a53a1d5f642- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | $515 | $14,893 | $3,986 | $0 | $497 |
| 2002 | $1,206,220 | $1,243,018 | $14,789 | $0 | $819,556 |
Elections
No elections on file.
Committees
- CLAYBURGH FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CLAYBURGH FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |