BAXTER, TIM
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2NH01262- Internal id
0887b4cb-796e-4083-826d-4049f31a0409- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NH-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 698,446 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $100,838 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $53,653 |
| Income | In poverty | 7.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.438 |
| Race | White alone | 87.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 91.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 66.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 41.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.5% |
| Household | Family households | 63.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.42 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $429,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,563 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 60.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 17.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $2,475 | $4,066 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $866,881 | $865,290 | $1,592 | $299,450 | $500,789 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· NH-1 β lost_general
Committees
- BAXTER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $105,147 | $0 | 2 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-09 | MAKE LIBERTY WIN | support | $4,226 | Phone Calls |
| 2022-08-18 | MAKE LIBERTY WIN | support | $100,921 | Field Distribution of Literature |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-09 | MAKE LIBERTY WIN | 24E | $4,225 |
| 2022-08-18 | MAKE LIBERTY WIN | 24E | $100,920 |
| 2022-07-06 | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION FOR GUN RIGHTS INC PAC | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-06-28 | CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-06-20 | KEEP ELECTING NEW TALENT PAC | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-05-06 | WINRED | 24K | $-24 |
| 2022-03-31 | MAKING A SENSIBLE SHIFT IN ELECTIONS PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-03-31 | PAUL BROUN FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-03-30 | GATORPAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-03-29 | LOG CABIN REPUBLICANS PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-02-08 | MAKING A SENSIBLE SHIFT IN ELECTIONS PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-01-12 | WINRED | 24K | $-24 |
| 2021-12-31 | PALOMBI FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2021-12-30 | NATHAN DAHM FOR US SENATE | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2021-07-27 | AMERICANS AGAINST SOCIALIST AUTHORITARIANS PAC β¦ | 24K | $250 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (17)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-09 | MAKE LIBERTY WIN | contributed_to | $4,225 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-09 | MAKE LIBERTY WIN | supports_independently | $4,226 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-18 | MAKE LIBERTY WIN | supports_independently | $100,921 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-18 | MAKE LIBERTY WIN | contributed_to | $100,920 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-06 | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION FOR GUN RIGHTS INC PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-28 | CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-20 | KEEP ELECTING NEW TALENT PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-24 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-31 | MAKING A SENSIBLE SHIFT IN ELECTIONS PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-31 | PAUL BROUN FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-30 | GATORPAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-29 | LOG CABIN REPUBLICANS PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-08 | MAKING A SENSIBLE SHIFT IN ELECTIONS PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-24 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-31 | PALOMBI FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-30 | NATHAN DAHM FOR US SENATE | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-07-27 | AMERICANS AGAINST SOCIALIST AUTHORITARIANS PAC (AMASA PAC) | contributed_to | $250 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BAXTER FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |