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LEAVITT, KAROLINE

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2NH01270
Internal id
c9117ee1-9cbf-43a2-8e0b-5f9fc875b899
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NH-01. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation698,446
PeopleMedian age43
IncomeMedian household income$100,838
IncomePer-capita income$53,653
IncomeIn poverty7.0%
IncomeUnemployed3.3%
IncomeGini inequality index0.438
RaceWhite alone87.7%
RaceBlack alone1.5%
RaceAsian alone2.5%
RaceHispanic or Latino4.8%
RaceTwo or more races6.5%
OriginForeign-born6.0%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home91.9%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home2.7%
EducationHigh school or higher66.9%
EducationBachelor's or higher41.5%
EducationAdvanced degree15.5%
HouseholdFamily households63.8%
HouseholdAvg household size2.42
HouseholdNever married (15+)30.9%
HousingMedian home value$429,400
HousingMedian gross rent$1,563
HousingSingle-family detached60.6%
HousingBuilt before 19403.6%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.3%
HousingVacant units14.1%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.5%
HealthWith a disability13.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband93.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet4.2%
CommuteDrove alone71.8%
CommutePublic transit0.6%
CommuteWorked from home17.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$4,477$12,600$0$326,371$0
2024$33,327$53,866$8,123$326,371$17,868
2022$3,847,796$3,819,134$28,662$353,102$3,398,250

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2024$0$5881
2022$871,751$7,807,80175

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESoppose$32,450Estimated Cost for Mail Piece Production, Printing and Post…
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESoppose$32,450Estimated Cost for Mail Piece Production, Printing and Post…
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESoppose$588Estimated Cost for Staff Time for Voter Communications
β€”HMPoppose$1,127,355Television Advertising - Estimate
β€”LCV VICTORY FUNDoppose$161Research Services
β€”LCV VICTORY FUNDoppose$10,000Polling
β€”HMPoppose$524,769Television Advertising - Estimate
β€”LCV VICTORY FUNDoppose$22Research Services
β€”HMPoppose$15,695Media Production - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$1,037,920Television Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$68,571Digital Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$10,299Digital Production - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$2,134Media Production - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$524,769Television Advertising - Estimate
β€”FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDsupport$1,218IE- LEAVITT- TEXT MARKETING
β€”HMPoppose$25,000Media Production - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$13,348Media Production - Estimate
β€”FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDsupport$1,219IE- LEAVITT- DIGITAL MARKETING
β€”HMPoppose$135,000Digital Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$21,525Media Production - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$1,115,946Television Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$20,580Media Production - Estimate
β€”FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDsupport$1,429IE- LEAVITT- EMAIL MARKETING
β€”FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDsupport$21,551IE- LEAVITT- DIRECT MAIL PRODUCTION
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESoppose$16,225Estimated Cost for Mail Piece Printing, Production and Post…

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$16,224
β€”HMP24A$25,000
β€”LCV VICTORY FUND24A$160
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$32,449
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$1,000
β€”LCV VICTORY FUND24A$22
β€”HMP24A$524,769
β€”LCV VICTORY FUND24A$10,000
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$587
2022-12-28WINRED24K$0
2022-12-28PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$1,000
2022-12-27WINRED24K$-50
2022-12-26WINRED24K$-1
2022-12-23WINRED24K$0
2022-12-23WINRED24K$-100
2022-12-23WINRED24K$-100
2022-12-22WINRED24K$-3
2022-12-22WINRED24K$-4
2022-12-21WINRED24K$-25
2022-12-20WINRED24K$-50
2022-12-19WINRED24K$-250
2022-12-16WINRED24K$-3
2022-12-16WINRED24K$-50
2022-12-15WINRED24K$-50
2022-12-15WINRED24K$-25

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
β€”HMPcontributed_to$524,769pas2
β€”LCV VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$22pas2
β€”LCV VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$10,000pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$1,000pas2
β€”LCV VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$160pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$32,449pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$16,224pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$587pas2
β€”HMPcontributed_to$25,000pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$588fec_ies
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$32,450fec_ies
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$32,450fec_ies
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$16,225fec_ies
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$588fec_ies
β€”LCV VICTORY FUNDopposes_independently$22fec_ies
β€”LCV VICTORY FUNDopposes_independently$10,000fec_ies
β€”LCV VICTORY FUNDopposes_independently$161fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$25,000fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$524,769fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$20,580fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$68,571fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$1,127,355fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$1,037,920fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$1,115,946fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$10,299fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$2,134fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$13,348fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$15,695fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$524,769fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$21,525fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$135,000fec_ies
β€”FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDsupports_independently$1,219fec_ies
β€”FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDsupports_independently$1,218fec_ies
β€”FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDsupports_independently$21,551fec_ies
β€”FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDsupports_independently$1,429fec_ies
2022-12-28PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-12-28WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-27WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-12-26WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-12-23WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-12-23WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-23WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-12-22WINREDcontributed_to$-4pas2
2022-12-22WINREDcontributed_to$-3pas2
2022-12-21WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-20WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-12-19WINREDcontributed_to$-250pas2
2022-12-16WINREDcontributed_to$-3pas2
2022-12-16WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-12-15WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-15WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-12-15WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-12-14WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-12-14WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-12-14WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-12-14WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-12-13WINREDcontributed_to$-45pas2
2022-12-13WINREDcontributed_to$-250pas2
2022-12-10WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-12-10WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-10WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-12-09WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-09WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-12-07PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$32,449pas2
2022-12-07WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-07PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$16,224pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-04WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-12-02WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-02WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-02WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-01WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-01WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-30WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-25WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-24WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-24WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-23WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-23WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-22WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-11-18WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-18LCV VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$160pas2
2022-11-18WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-4pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2

Outbound (3)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofKAROLINE FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofLEAVITT FOR NH-01β€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofLEAVITT FOR NH-01 REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2022β€”candidate_committees

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