WILLIAMS, LILY TANG

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2NH02260
Internal id: 232d9c0c-e46c-4015-b235-0d0ac008c8a4
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NH-02. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	696,422
People	Median age	44
Income	Median household income	$97,382
Income	Per-capita income	$51,941
Income	In poverty	7.5%
Income	Unemployed	3.4%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.450
Race	White alone	88.1%
Race	Black alone	1.4%
Race	Asian alone	2.6%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	4.5%
Race	Two or more races	6.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	6.3%
Language	Speaks English only at home	92.2%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	2.5%
Education	High school or higher	67.9%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	39.8%
Education	Advanced degree	16.8%
Household	Family households	65.1%
Household	Avg household size	2.45
Household	Never married (15+)	30.0%
Housing	Median home value	$376,200
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,415
Housing	Single-family detached	66.0%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.3%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.5%
Housing	Vacant units	14.5%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.8%
Health	With a disability	13.5%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.3%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.5%
Commute	Drove alone	72.2%
Commute	Public transit	0.5%
Commute	Worked from home	16.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$869,483	$425,033	$573,929	$120,000	$744,407
2024	$881,771	$783,085	$129,480	$0	$650,978
2022	$186,201	$155,408	$30,793	$0	$180,401

Elections

2022 general house · NH-2 — lost_general
2024 general house · NH-2 — lost_general
2026 general house · NH-2 — running

Committees

LILY4CONGRESS COMMITTEE — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2024	$47,490	$0	3

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2024-10-21	GOA VICTORY FUND	support	$12,490	DIGITAL MEDIA PLACEMENT / DIGITAL MEDIA PRODUCTION
2024-10-04	PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	support	$25,000	Direct Mail
2024-10-04	PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	support	$10,000	Text Messages

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-08-08	TEAPARTYEXPRESS.ORG	24K	$1,000

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee LILY4CONGRESS COMMITTEE.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
MUCHMORE, JOHN	RETIRED · RETIRED	NEW LONDON, NH	1	$1,500
YOUNG, CRAIG	SELF · RETIRED	WEARE, NH	1	$750
BUTLER, GREG	NG · NG	WEST FARGO, ND	1	$500
THEIS, JEROLD DR.	RETIRED · RETIRED	ENFIELD CENTER, NH	1	$500
BIEBER, ALBERT	RETIRED · RETIRES	CHINA, TX	1	$350
ARKES, HAL	NG · NG	CLEVELAND, OH	1	$250
NORMAN, GERALD	RETIRED · RETIRED	LOS ANGELES, CA	1	$250
WALL, STEPHEN	NG · NG	LONG BEACH, CA	1	$250
KISS, STEPHEN	RETIRED · RETIRED	MANCHESTER, NH	1	$193
KILCULLEN, HILARY	HEALTHCARE · PHYSICIAN ASSISTANT	CONCORD, NH	1	$150
OLSEN, THOMAS	RETIRED · RETIRED	TOWSON, MD	1	$120
KING, ARCHIBALD	RETIRED · RETIRED	CHICAGO, IL	1	$100
NIMICK, GEORGE	RETIRED · RETIRED	SARASOTA, FL	1	$100
POWERS, PATRICIA	RET · RET	PEABODY, MA	1	$100
STEWART, SCOTT	RETIRED · RETIRED	FORT WORTH, TX	1	$100
FARACCHIO, DEAN	RETIRED · RETIRED	LAKE MARY, FL	1	$100
UFKES, STEVE	RTIRED · RETIRED	BOWEN, IL	1	$100
DENNIS, DONALD	RETIRED · RETIRED	SAN ANGELO, TX	1	$75
RICHARD, DEREK	TFPG · OWNER	CHARLESTOWN, NH	1	$50
WANG, XIAOHUI	MERCK · MANAGER	WARREN, NJ	1	$50
GORNISH, STANLEY	RETIRED · RETIRED	GARNET VALLEY, PA	1	$50
KOBYLARZ, M PATRICIA	RETIRED · RETIRED	SOUTHAVEN, MS	1	$50
ZEMKE, PAUL	SELF · SERVICE OCCUPATION	KILA, MT	1	$50
MACVITTIE, ROBBIN	RETIRED · RETIRED	NEWBURY, NH	1	$50
WILLIAMS, ARTHUR	TRUSTED SPACE INC · AEROSPACE ENGINEER	COLORADO SPRINGS, CO	1	$25

Connected on the graph

Inbound (4)

date	from	type	amount	source
2024-10-21	GOA VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$12,490	fec_ies
2024-10-04	PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$25,000	fec_ies
2024-10-04	PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2022-08-08	TEAPARTYEXPRESS.ORG	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	LILY4CONGRESS COMMITTEE	—		candidate_committees

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