ALEXANDER, TIMOTHY

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2NJ02193
Internal id: 9460a5ba-69b0-4b34-8328-e2a1ad1b9f8a
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NJ-02. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	783,815
People	Median age	43
Income	Median household income	$85,261
Income	Per-capita income	$44,224
Income	In poverty	11.4%
Income	Unemployed	6.9%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.458
Race	White alone	65.9%
Race	Black alone	11.1%
Race	Asian alone	3.8%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	18.0%
Race	Two or more races	10.9%
Origin	Foreign-born	10.3%
Language	Speaks English only at home	81.0%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	12.4%
Education	High school or higher	64.6%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	31.3%
Education	Advanced degree	11.1%
Household	Family households	67.5%
Household	Avg household size	2.49
Household	Never married (15+)	33.1%
Housing	Median home value	$318,100
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,363
Housing	Single-family detached	65.6%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.4%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.3%
Housing	Vacant units	26.0%
Service	Veterans (18+)	5.9%
Health	With a disability	14.3%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	91.8%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	6.1%
Commute	Drove alone	74.8%
Commute	Public transit	2.2%
Commute	Worked from home	10.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$0	$0	$13,590	$25,210	$0
2024	$195,518	$196,850	$13,590	$31,360	$174,347
2022	$502,345	$487,474	$14,872	$5,000	$450,165

Elections

2022 general house · NJ-2 — lost_general
2024 general house · NJ-2 — lost_general

Committees

ALEXANDER4CONGRESS2022 — principal · type H
TIM ALEXANDER FOR CONGRESS - 2024 — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$324	$0	1

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2022-10-24	ACTION TOGETHER PAC	support	$324	Payment for voter names for NJ 02

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-11-01	NEW JERSEY EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	24F	$8,985
2022-10-24	SHORE PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-10-24	ACTION TOGETHER PAC	24E	$324
2022-10-14	COMMUNICATIONS WORKERS OF AMERICA - COPE POLITI…	24K	$3,000
2022-09-30	PURPOSE PAC	24K	$2,000
2022-09-28	THE COUNCIL OF INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS POLIT…	24K	$2,500
2022-09-14	NEA FUND FOR CHILDREN AND PUBLIC EDUCATION	24K	$2,500
2022-09-08	DONALD M PAYNE JR FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2022-08-18	UNITE HERE TIP CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE	24K	$5,000
2022-08-11	THE MAJORITY RULES	24K	$5,000
2022-08-09	ACTION TOGETHER PAC	24E	$3,458
2021-11-16	THE COLLECTIVE PAC	24K	$4,000
2021-09-24	RETAIL, WHOLESALE & DEPARTMENT STORE UNION COMM…	24K	$5,000
2021-08-27	REMEDY PAC	24K	$500
2021-03-31	THE MAJORITY RULES	24K	$4,000
2021-03-03	THE MAJORITY RULES	24K	$1,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (17)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-11-01	NEW JERSEY EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$8,985	pas2
2022-10-24	SHORE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-24	TOGETHER FUND PAC	contributed_to	$324	pas2
2022-10-24	TOGETHER FUND PAC	supports_independently	$324	fec_ies
2022-10-14	COMMUNICATIONS WORKERS OF AMERICA - COPE POLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2022-09-30	PURPOSE PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-28	THE COUNCIL OF INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-14	NEA FUND FOR CHILDREN AND PUBLIC EDUCATION	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-08	DONALD M PAYNE JR FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-08-18	UNITE HERE TIP CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-11	THE MAJORITY RULES	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-09	TOGETHER FUND PAC	contributed_to	$3,458	pas2
2021-11-16	THE COLLECTIVE PAC	contributed_to	$4,000	pas2
2021-09-24	RETAIL, WHOLESALE & DEPARTMENT STORE UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION (RWDSU COPE)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-08-27	REMEDY PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2021-03-31	THE MAJORITY RULES	contributed_to	$4,000	pas2
2021-03-03	THE MAJORITY RULES	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	TIM ALEXANDER FOR CONGRESS - 2024	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	ALEXANDER4CONGRESS2022	—		candidate_committees

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